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Jaroslaw vs Trzebinia Siersza - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group IV 2017/2018 game between Jaroslaw and Trzebinia Siersza finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jaroslaw.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Jaroslaw
15%
Draws
26%
Trzebinia Siersza
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jaroslaw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Jaroslaw carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Jaroslaw's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group IV 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Jaroslaw Clean Sheet 20%
Trzebinia Siersza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaroslaw Trzebinia Siersza
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 5
Draws 6 8
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 2.17 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2018 III Liga - Group IV
Jaroslaw vs Trzebinia Siersza
2:0
Oct 14, 2017 III Liga - Group IV
Trzebinia Siersza vs Jaroslaw
3:0
Jun 3, 2017 III Liga - Group IV
Jaroslaw vs Trzebinia Siersza
1:2
Oct 29, 2016 III Liga - Group IV
Trzebinia Siersza vs Jaroslaw
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaroslaw 85 / 100
Trzebinia Siersza 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaroslaw Trzebinia Siersza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jaroslaw Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jaroslaw scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Trzebinia Siersza has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Jaroslaw has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jaroslaw VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaroslaw

(Home)
03 Oct
Jaroslaw
1 : 3
Naprzod Jedrzejow
27 Sept
Moravia Morawica
2 : 2
Jaroslaw
19 Sept
Jaroslaw
5 : 2
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
12 Sept
Wislanie Skawina
3 : 1
Jaroslaw
05 Sept
Jaroslaw
6 : 2
Korona Kielce II
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Trzebinia Siersza

(Away)
20 Jul
Czaniec
2 : 1
Trzebinia Siersza
16 Jun
Sandomierz
2 : 0
Trzebinia Siersza
09 Jun
Trzebinia Siersza
2 : 1
Wislanie Skawina
02 Jun
Sola Oswiecim
4 : 1
Trzebinia Siersza
30 May
Trzebinia Siersza
1 : 2
S. Rzeszow
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 R. Rzeszow 34 23 8 3 61:22 77
2 Motor Lublin 34 22 5 7 70:29 71
3 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 34 18 10 6 50:31 64
4 Chelmianka Chelm 34 18 8 8 56:29 62
5 Podhale Nowy Targ 34 16 8 10 59:43 56
6 S. Rzeszow 34 16 7 11 56:40 55
7 Wolczanka Wolka Pelkinska 34 16 7 11 56:42 55
8 Wislanie Skawina 34 13 9 12 52:56 48
9 Orleta Radzyn 34 12 10 12 45:47 46
10 Avia Swidnik 34 10 11 13 55:49 41
11 Sola Oswiecim 34 10 7 17 39:59 37
12 Spartakus Daleszyce 34 10 6 18 39:55 36
13 Biala Podlaska 34 7 15 12 40:52 36
14 Sandomierz 34 10 6 18 30:46 36
15 Jaroslaw 34 10 5 19 39:64 35
16 Unia Tarnow 34 9 8 17 48:70 35
17 Trzebinia Siersza 34 6 9 19 35:63 27
18 KS Karpaty Krosno 34 6 9 19 27:60 27
Promotion - Division 2 2018/2019 (Main)