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Jarun vs Bjelovar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL Stadion NK Jarun, Zagreb
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jarun host Bjelovar in the Druga NL. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Jarun at 1.43 goals for, 1.43 against; Bjelovar at 1.74 for, 1.15 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.63, favoring Bjelovar. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Jarun
35%
Draws
31%
Bjelovar
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Bjelovar have won more games recently than Jarun.
  • 34% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Jarun Clean Sheet 14%
Bjelovar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jarun Bjelovar
Matches Played 28 34
Wins 8 15
Draws 9 8
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.43 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jarun 30 / 100
Bjelovar 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jarun Bjelovar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jarun Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jarun went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Jarun found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Bjelovar let in goals in 56% of their last 34 matches.

Away concern: Bjelovar has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jarun VS Bjelovar
1.88 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jarun

(Home)
17 Oct
Zapresic
2 : 2
Jarun
10 Oct
Jarun
1 : 0
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
26 Sept
Jarun
3 : 0
Grobnican
19 Sept
Radnik Krizevci
2 : 2
Jarun
12 Sept
Jarun
3 : 3
Trnje
Page 1 of 6

Bjelovar

(Away)
17 Oct
Bjelovar
4 : 0
NK Koprivnica
10 Oct
Dugo Selo
3 : 1
Bjelovar
03 Oct
Zapresic
0 : 0
Bjelovar
26 Sept
Bjelovar
1 : 1
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
19 Sept
Uskok Klis
2 : 3
Bjelovar
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uskok Klis 8 6 0 2 19:7 18
2 Bjelovar 9 5 2 2 21:12 17
3 Dugo Selo 9 5 1 3 14:8 16
4 Jarun 8 3 5 0 17:12 14
5 Trnje 9 4 2 3 15:11 14
6 Uljanik Pula 9 4 2 3 17:18 14
7 Slavonija Pozega 9 3 3 3 16:15 12
8 Solin 9 3 3 3 12:11 12
9 Zapresic 9 3 3 3 13:14 12
10 Zagora 9 2 5 2 21:20 11
11 Radnik Krizevci 9 3 2 4 12:15 11
12 Grobnican 9 3 2 4 12:18 11
13 Dragovoljac 9 3 1 5 9:16 10
14 Lucko 9 2 3 4 10:12 9
15 Varteks Varazdin (2011) 9 2 2 5 8:14 8
16 NK Koprivnica 9 1 2 6 10:23 5
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