Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jarun vs Cibalia

Croatia Croatia

Prva NL 2025/2026 Stadion NK Jarun, Zagreb
Jarun Logo

Jarun

1 - 1
FT
Cibalia Logo

Cibalia

Our Tip

Match Events

54'
Ljubic J.
67'
Sub
Godec N. In: Kelic R.
Out: Godec N.
67'
Sub
Buzic M. In: Sostar F.
Out: Buzic M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Prva NL 2025/2026 game between Jarun and Cibalia finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Jarun
35%
Draws
30%
Cibalia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Jarun haven't matched Cibalia's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Prva NL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Jarun Clean Sheet 16%
Cibalia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jarun Cibalia
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 16
Draws 11 6
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.45 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.52 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Prva NL
Jarun vs Cibalia
1:1
Feb 22, 2026 Prva NL
Cibalia vs Jarun
3:1
Sep 27, 2025 Prva NL
Jarun vs Cibalia
2:1
May 24, 2025 Prva NL
Cibalia vs Jarun
1:1
Nov 8, 2024 Prva NL
Jarun vs Cibalia
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jarun Compare

Top Goalscorer Peros R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Cibalia Compare

Top Goalscorer Zabec D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jarun 30 / 100
Cibalia 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jarun Cibalia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jarun Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jarun went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Jarun's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Cibalia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Jarun VS Cibalia
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jarun

(Home)
19 Sept
Radnik Krizevci
2 : 2
Jarun
12 Sept
Jarun
3 : 3
Trnje
05 Sept
Slavonija Pozega
0 : 1
Jarun
29 Aug
Jarun
4 : 4
Zagora
22 Aug
Lucko
1 : 1
Jarun
Page 1 of 6

Cibalia

(Away)
18 Sept
Sesvete
1 : 2
Cibalia
12 Sept
Cibalia
0 : 0
Kustosija
09 Sept
Vukovar 1991
1 : 0
Cibalia
05 Sept
Vukovar 1991
1 : 1
Cibalia
02 Sept
Cibalia
0 : 0
Orijent
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rudes 33 19 8 6 49:29 65
2 Cibalia 33 17 7 9 51:33 58
3 Sesvete 33 16 9 8 42:28 57
4 Dugopolje 33 16 6 11 40:38 54
5 Dubrava Zagreb 33 13 8 12 39:46 47
6 Bijelo Brdo 33 11 9 13 30:30 42
7 Karlovac 33 13 3 17 40:45 42
8 Opatija 33 10 10 13 31:38 40
9 Orijent 33 9 11 13 40:41 38
10 Hrvace 33 10 6 17 36:48 36
11 Croatia Zmijavci 33 9 8 16 32:46 35
12 Jarun 33 8 9 16 34:42 33
Relegation - Druga NL (Main)
Promotion - HNL (Main)