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Stadium Background

Jarun vs Cibalia

Croatia Croatia

Prva NL 2025/2026 Stadion NK Jarun, Zagreb
Our Tip

Match Events

54'
Ljubic J.
67'
Sub
Godec N. In: Kelic R.
Out: Godec N.
67'
Sub
Buzic M. In: Sostar F.
Out: Buzic M.

AI Match Summary

The Prva NL 2025/2026 game between Jarun and Cibalia finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Jarun
33%
Draws
40%
Cibalia
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Cibalia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Jarun haven't matched Cibalia's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Cibalia a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Prva NL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Jarun Clean Sheet 12%
Cibalia Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jarun Cibalia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 16
Draws 8 4
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0.75 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Prva NL
Jarun vs Cibalia
1:1
Feb 22, 2026 Prva NL
Cibalia vs Jarun
3:1
Sep 27, 2025 Prva NL
Jarun vs Cibalia
2:1
May 24, 2025 Prva NL
Cibalia vs Jarun
1:1
Nov 8, 2024 Prva NL
Jarun vs Cibalia
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jarun Compare

Top Goalscorer Peros R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Cibalia Compare

Top Goalscorer Zabec D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jarun 27 / 100
Cibalia 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jarun Cibalia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CIB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jarun scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Cibalia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Jarun remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jarun VS Cibalia
0.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jarun

(Home)
18 Jul
Mladost Zdralovi
3 : 1
Jarun
30 May
Jarun
1 : 1
Cibalia
22 May
Karlovac
2 : 1
Jarun
17 May
Jarun
0 : 2
Dubrava Zagreb
10 May
Croatia Zmijavci
1 : 2
Jarun
Page 1 of 6

Cibalia

(Away)
22 Jul
Osijek
3 : 0
Cibalia
30 May
Jarun
1 : 1
Cibalia
23 May
Cibalia
3 : 2
Orijent
15 May
Rudes
2 : 3
Cibalia
09 May
Cibalia
2 : 0
Sesvete
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rudes33198649:2965
2Cibalia33177951:3358
3Sesvete33169842:2857
4Dugopolje331661140:3854
5Dubrava Zagreb331381239:4647
6Bijelo Brdo331191330:3042
7Karlovac331331740:4542
8Opatija3310101331:3840
9Orijent339111340:4138
10Hrvace331061736:4836
11Croatia Zmijavci33981632:4635
12Jarun33891634:4233
Relegation - Druga NL (Main)
Promotion - HNL (Main)