Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jarun vs Sesvete

Croatia Croatia

Prva NL 2025/2026 Stadion NK Jarun, Zagreb
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Maloca M.
Own Goal
31'
Orlic B.
46'
Sub
Kus A. In: Budimir B.
Out: Kus A.

AI Match Summary

The Prva NL 2025/2026 game between Jarun and Sesvete finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sesvete.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Jarun
35%
Draws
30%
Sesvete
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sesvete come out ahead of Jarun on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Prva NL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Sesvete here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Jarun Clean Sheet 68%
Sesvete Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jarun Sesvete
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 17
Draws 10 2
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.41 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Prva NL
Jarun vs Sesvete
0:2
Feb 14, 2026 Prva NL
Jarun vs Sesvete
0:1
Sep 20, 2025 Prva NL
Sesvete vs Jarun
1:0
Mar 28, 2025 Prva NL
Jarun vs Sesvete
0:2
Mar 14, 2025 Prva NL
Sesvete vs Jarun
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jarun Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Sesvete Compare

Top Goalscorer Saranic I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jarun 42 / 100
Sesvete 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jarun Sesvete

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Jarun remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Jarun's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Sesvete conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Sesvete lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jarun VS Sesvete
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jarun

(Home)
12 Sept
Jarun
3 : 3
Trnje
05 Sept
Slavonija Pozega
0 : 1
Jarun
29 Aug
Jarun
4 : 4
Zagora
22 Aug
Lucko
1 : 1
Jarun
25 Jul
Radnik Krizevci
1 : 1
Jarun
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Sesvete

(Away)
18 Sept
Sesvete
1 : 2
Cibalia
11 Sept
Dinamo Zagreb 2
1 : 2
Sesvete
05 Sept
Sesvete
2 : 0
Segesta
02 Sept
Mladost Zdralovi
1 : 0
Sesvete
28 Aug
Sesvete
1 : 2
Dugopolje
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rudes 33 19 8 6 49:29 65
2 Cibalia 33 17 7 9 51:33 58
3 Sesvete 33 16 9 8 42:28 57
4 Dugopolje 33 16 6 11 40:38 54
5 Dubrava Zagreb 33 13 8 12 39:46 47
6 Bijelo Brdo 33 11 9 13 30:30 42
7 Karlovac 33 13 3 17 40:45 42
8 Opatija 33 10 10 13 31:38 40
9 Orijent 33 9 11 13 40:41 38
10 Hrvace 33 10 6 17 36:48 36
11 Croatia Zmijavci 33 9 8 16 32:46 35
12 Jarun 33 8 9 16 34:42 33
Relegation - Druga NL (Main)
Promotion - HNL (Main)