Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jarun vs Sesvete

Croatia Croatia

Prva NL 2025/2026 Stadion NK Jarun, Zagreb
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Maloca M.
Own Goal
31'
Orlic B.
46'
Sub
Kus A. In: Budimir B.
Out: Kus A.

AI Match Summary

The Prva NL 2025/2026 game between Jarun and Sesvete finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sesvete.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Jarun
30%
Draws
34%
Sesvete
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jarun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sesvete come out ahead of Jarun on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Jarun taking it.
  • Regular Prva NL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Sesvete here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Jarun Clean Sheet 68%
Sesvete Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jarun Sesvete
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 14
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0.75 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Prva NL
Jarun vs Sesvete
0:2
Feb 14, 2026 Prva NL
Jarun vs Sesvete
0:1
Sep 20, 2025 Prva NL
Sesvete vs Jarun
1:0
Mar 28, 2025 Prva NL
Jarun vs Sesvete
0:2
Mar 14, 2025 Prva NL
Sesvete vs Jarun
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jarun Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Sesvete Compare

Top Goalscorer Saranic I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jarun 46 / 100
Sesvete 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jarun Sesvete

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jarun found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Sesvete's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Away concern: Sesvete has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Jarun VS Sesvete
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jarun

(Home)
18 Jul
Mladost Zdralovi
3 : 1
Jarun
30 May
Jarun
1 : 1
Cibalia
22 May
Karlovac
2 : 1
Jarun
17 May
Jarun
0 : 2
Dubrava Zagreb
10 May
Croatia Zmijavci
1 : 2
Jarun
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Sesvete

(Away)
15 Jul
Karlovac
0 : 0
Sesvete
29 May
Rudes
3 : 1
Sesvete
22 May
Sesvete
2 : 1
Bijelo Brdo
16 May
Sesvete
1 : 2
Dugopolje
09 May
Cibalia
2 : 0
Sesvete
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rudes33198649:2965
2Cibalia33177951:3358
3Sesvete33169842:2857
4Dugopolje331661140:3854
5Dubrava Zagreb331381239:4647
6Bijelo Brdo331191330:3042
7Karlovac331331740:4542
8Opatija3310101331:3840
9Orijent339111340:4138
10Hrvace331061736:4836
11Croatia Zmijavci33981632:4635
12Jarun33891634:4233
Relegation - Druga NL (Main)
Promotion - HNL (Main)