Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jarun vs Spansko

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 3. HNL Center 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Jarun
35%
Draws
24%
Spansko
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Jarun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Jarun haven't matched Spansko's recent run of results.
  • Jarun are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular 3. HNL Center 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Jarun Clean Sheet 68%
Spansko Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jarun Spansko
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 12 6
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.47 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2021 3. HNL Center
Jarun vs Spansko
2:2
Aug 29, 2020 3. HNL Center
Spansko vs Jarun
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jarun 59 / 100
Spansko 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jarun Spansko

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jarun Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spansko's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Solid form: Jarun remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Jarun's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Jarun VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jarun

(Home)
19 Sept
Radnik Krizevci
2 : 2
Jarun
12 Sept
Jarun
3 : 3
Trnje
05 Sept
Slavonija Pozega
0 : 1
Jarun
29 Aug
Jarun
4 : 4
Zagora
22 Aug
Lucko
1 : 1
Jarun
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Spansko

(Away)
27 Aug
Spansko
0 : 1
Gaj Mace
12 Jun
Trnje
0 : 2
Spansko
05 Jun
Spansko
2 : 2
Karlovac
29 May
Kurilovec
3 : 0
Spansko
26 May
Spansko
0 : 1
Dugo Selo
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