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Jas Qyran vs Arys - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan Cup 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Alikhan A.
21'
Tolebek M.
46'
Sub
Isakul D. In: Amirov T.
Out: Isakul D.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Jas Qyran advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Jas Qyran
15%
Draws
57%
Arys
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Jas Qyran carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Arys's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Jas Qyran have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Jas Qyran, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Jas Qyran here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Jas Qyran Clean Sheet 20%
Arys Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jas Qyran Arys
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 11 8
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 21
Goals Scored 1.73 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.8 2.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2024 Kazakhstan Cup
Jas Qyran vs Arys
1:0
Sep 14, 2023 First League
Arys vs Jas Qyran
1:1
May 25, 2023 First League
Jas Qyran vs Arys
8:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jas Qyran Compare

Top Goalscorer Zakharov R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Arys Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jas Qyran 12 / 100
Arys 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jas Qyran Arys

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arys Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arys has conceded goals in 94% of their last 34 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Jas Qyran's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Jas Qyran went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Arys
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jas Qyran

(Home)
08 Apr
Jas Qyran
0 : 4
Atyrau
16 Mar
Jas Qyran
0 : 1
AKAS
22 Mar
Taraz
1 : 0
Jas Qyran
15 Mar
Jas Qyran
1 : 0
Arys
12 Mar
Kaspij Aktau
2 : 4
Jas Qyran
Page 1 of 6

Arys

(Away)
08 Oct
Yelimay Semey 2
2 : 3
Arys
17 Sept
Arys
4 : 1
Aktobe 2
11 Sept
Kaspij Aktau 2
1 : 2
Arys
03 Sept
Arys
3 : 1
FC Ekibastuz
27 Aug
Kairat Almaty 2
1 : 0
Arys
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ertis Pavlodar 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
2 AKAS 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
3 Okzhetpes 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
4 Khan Tengri 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - Kazakhstan Cup 2024 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Akademiya Ontustik 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
2 Altai 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
3 Akzhayik Uralsk 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
Promotion - Kazakhstan Cup 2024 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Taraz 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
2 FC Ekibastuz 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
3 Turkistan 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
Promotion - Kazakhstan Cup 2024 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jas Qyran 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Arys 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
3 Kaspij Aktau 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
Promotion - Kazakhstan Cup 2024 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SD Family 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Ulytau 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
3 Maqtaaral 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
Promotion - Kazakhstan Cup 2024 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zhetisay 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
2 Aksu 2 1 0 1 5:5 3
3 FK Kyran 2 0 1 1 3:6 1
Promotion - Kazakhstan Cup 2024 (Promotion - Play Offs)