Sport Picks
Match Events
5'
5'
Khvalko E.
Assist: Shaykhov B.
55'
55'
Boranaliev A.
Own Goal
57'
57'
Trufanov Y.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-4. The second leg ended 0-4.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jas Qyran
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Jas Qyran carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Jas Qyran a 57% chance of winning this.
- Jas Qyran have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Atyrau, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Jas Qyran Clean Sheet 68%
Atyrau Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jas Qyran | Atyrau |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 5 |
| Draws | 5 | 11 |
| Losses | 14 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.73 | 0.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.8 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 8, 2026 Kazakhstan Cup
Jas Qyran vs Atyrau
0:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Jas Qyran Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52
Atyrau Compare
Top Goalscorer Trufanov Y.
2 Goals Assists Leader Khvalko E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jas Qyran 59 / 100
Atyrau 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jas Qyran Atyrau
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Jas Qyran Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Jas Qyran scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
Atyrau's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.
Difficult form: Atyrau registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Atyrau
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Jas Qyran
(Home) 08 Apr
Jas Qyran
0 : 4 Atyrau
16 Mar
Jas Qyran
0 : 1 AKAS
22 Mar
Taraz
1 : 0 Jas Qyran
15 Mar
Jas Qyran
1 : 0 Arys
12 Mar
Kaspij Aktau
2 : 4 Jas Qyran
Page 1 of 6
08 Apr
Jas Qyran
0 : 4 Atyrau
16 Mar
Jas Qyran
0 : 1 AKAS
15 Mar
Jas Qyran
1 : 0 Arys
24 Oct
Jas Qyran
1 : 2 Turan
03 Oct
Jas Qyran
1 : 3 FC Astana 2
Page 1 of 3
Atyrau
(Away) 17 Sept
Atyrau
0 : 3 Ordabasy
12 Sept
Kaisar Kyzylorda
1 : 0 Atyrau
05 Sept
Kyzylzhar
0 : 1 Atyrau
30 Aug
Atyrau
2 : 3 FC Astana
16 Aug
Atyrau
0 : 2 Okzhetpes
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Kaisar Kyzylorda
1 : 0 Atyrau
05 Sept
Kyzylzhar
0 : 1 Atyrau
26 Jul
Tobol
1 : 0 Atyrau
27 Jun
Kaspij Aktau
2 : 0 Atyrau
21 Jun
Yelimay Semey
1 : 2 Atyrau
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Akademiya Ontustik 2
Ordabasy 4
FC Ekibastuz 0
Kaspij Aktau 4
Jas Qyran 0
Atyrau 4
Karshiga Almaty 0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan 1
Arys 0
Aktobe 4
Turan 1
Yelimay Semey 4
Jelaev Nan 0
Altai 2
Taraz 0
Ulytau 1
Talas 0
Kaisar Kyzylorda 2
Jaiyq 1
Kairat Almaty 3
BKS 1
FC Astana 2
Ansat 0
Tobol 8
Shakhter Karagandy 2
Okzhetpes 3
Chromtau 1
Zhenis 4
SD Family -
Ertis Pavlodar -
Khan Tengri 0
Kyzylzhar 1
1/8-finals
Ordabasy 3
Kaspij Aktau 0
Atyrau 0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan 2
Aktobe 2
Yelimay Semey 1
Altai 4
Ulytau 3
Kaisar Kyzylorda 2
Kairat Almaty 1
FC Astana 1
Tobol 2
Okzhetpes 2
Zhenis 3
Ertis Pavlodar 1
Kyzylzhar 2
Quarter-finals
Ordabasy 1
Zhetysu Taldykorgan 0
Aktobe 1
Altai 2
Kaisar Kyzylorda 2
Tobol 1
Zhenis 2
Kyzylzhar 0
Semi-finals
Ordabasy 5
Altai 2
Kaisar Kyzylorda 5
Zhenis 4
Final
Ordabasy -
Kaisar Kyzylorda -
