Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jaska Vinogradar vs NK Mosor

Croatia Croatia

2. HNL 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 2. HNL 2011/2012 game between Jaska Vinogradar and NK Mosor finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jaska Vinogradar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Jaska Vinogradar
20%
Draws
80%
NK Mosor
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: NK Mosor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Jaska Vinogradar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives NK Mosor a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 2. HNL 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Jaska Vinogradar Clean Sheet 20%
NK Mosor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaska Vinogradar NK Mosor
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 15 11
Draws 0 11
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 1.55 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.09 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2013 Prva NL
NK Mosor vs Jaska Vinogradar
1:0
Oct 21, 2012 Prva NL
Jaska Vinogradar vs NK Mosor
3:1
Feb 26, 2012 Prva NL
Jaska Vinogradar vs NK Mosor
1:0
Aug 20, 2011 Prva NL
NK Mosor vs Jaska Vinogradar
3:1
May 7, 2011 Prva NL
NK Mosor vs Jaska Vinogradar
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaska Vinogradar 10 / 100
NK Mosor 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaska Vinogradar NK Mosor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NK Mosor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaska Vinogradar's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Defensive concern: NK Mosor conceded in 63% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Difficult form: NK Mosor registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jaska Vinogradar VS -
3 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaska Vinogradar

(Home)
11 Sept
Bjelovar
4 : 0
Jaska Vinogradar
27 Sept
Karlovac
2 : 1
Jaska Vinogradar
19 Oct
Bjelovar
4 : 2
Jaska Vinogradar
22 Sept
Belisce
4 : 0
Jaska Vinogradar
30 Sept
Kurilovec
6 : 0
Jaska Vinogradar
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NK Mosor

(Away)
15 Jun
NK Mosor
0 : 0
Hajduk Split
26 Aug
Ostrc Zlatar
1 : 0
NK Mosor
01 Jun
NK Mosor
1 : 3
NK Pomorac
26 May
Imotski
4 : 0
NK Mosor
18 May
Solin
2 : 2
NK Mosor
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dugopolje 28 17 6 5 50:27 57
2 NK Pomorac 28 18 2 8 63:30 56
3 NK Mosor 28 15 7 6 36:16 52
4 Jaska Vinogradar 28 15 5 8 47:32 50
5 Imotski 28 11 9 8 26:21 42
6 Rudes 28 11 8 9 42:33 41
7 HNK Gorica 28 10 10 8 27:24 40
8 Dragovoljac 28 10 10 8 36:37 40
9 Sesvete 28 10 9 9 34:31 39
10 NK Junak Sinj 28 10 9 9 29:27 39
11 Solin 28 10 5 13 35:45 35
12 Marsonia 28 8 6 14 25:50 30
13 Medjimurje 28 5 7 16 31:60 22
14 HASK 28 6 3 19 33:52 21
15 Croatia Sesvete 28 4 4 20 23:52 15
Promotion - 1. HNL 2012/2013 (Main)