Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jaszberenyi vs Hatvan FC

Hungary Hungary

Hungarian Cup 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jaszberenyi play Hatvan FC in the Hungarian Cup 2023/2024. Hatvan FC are favorites here. Recently, Jaszberenyi averaged 0.63 goals scored and 3.47 conceded. Hatvan FC averaged 1.39 goals scored and 2.52 conceded. In past meetings, Jaszberenyi won 1, Hatvan FC won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Aug 5, 2023 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.23 for Jaszberenyi and 1.11 for Hatvan FC. This points to a Hatvan FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Jaszberenyi
15%
Draws
56%
Hatvan FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hatvan FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Jaszberenyi picked up more points recently compared to Hatvan FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.23 vs 1.11 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Jaszberenyi Clean Sheet 21%
Hatvan FC Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 84%
Second Half Goal 88%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaszberenyi Hatvan FC
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 3 8
Draws 3 0
Losses 24 25
Goals Scored 0.63 1.39
Goals Conceded 3.47 2.52

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2023 Hungarian Cup
Jaszberenyi vs Hatvan FC
0:3
Apr 30, 2023 NB III - East
Jaszberenyi vs Hatvan FC
0:7
Nov 6, 2022 NB III - East
Hatvan FC vs Jaszberenyi
2:1
May 2, 2021 NB III - East
Hatvan FC vs Jaszberenyi
0:0
Oct 18, 2020 NB III - East
Jaszberenyi vs Hatvan FC
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaszberenyi 30 / 100
Hatvan FC 52 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaszberenyi Hatvan FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hatvan FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Hatvan FC & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.7%
1.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Jaszberenyi attacking → ← attacking Hatvan FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaszberenyi scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Hatvan FC let in goals in 88% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Jaszberenyi went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Hatvan FC lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Cup knockout game. Winning is all that matters, which can lead to wild tactics or extra time.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

12 Points in last 5 24
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.25