Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jazeera vs Badbaado

Somalia Somalia

National league
Jazeera Logo

Jazeera

2 - 4
FT
Badbaado Logo

Badbaado

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The National league game between Jazeera and Badbaado finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Badbaado.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Jazeera
15%
Draws
51%
Badbaado
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Badbaado

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Badbaado carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Badbaado taking it.
  • Regular National league form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Jazeera Clean Sheet 10%
Badbaado Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jazeera Badbaado
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 11
Draws 7 4
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.6 1.93
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 National league
Badbaado vs Jazeera
4:1
May 1, 2026 National league
Jazeera vs Badbaado
2:4
May 13, 2025 National league
Jazeera vs Badbaado
1:0
Jan 29, 2025 National league
Badbaado vs Jazeera
0:3
May 31, 2024 National league
Badbaado vs Jazeera
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jazeera 10 / 100
Badbaado 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jazeera Badbaado

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Badbaado Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Badbaado conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Jazeera's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Badbaado registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jazeera VS Badbaado
2.75 Goals Scored 1.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jazeera

(Home)
12 Aug
Jeenyo
6 : 0
Jazeera
08 Aug
Heegan
4 : 0
Jazeera
22 Jul
Jazeera
1 : 3
Gaadiidka
18 Jul
Jazeera
9 : 1
Gantaalaha Afgooye
14 Jul
Horseed
2 : 2
Jazeera
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Badbaado

(Away)
11 Aug
Horseed
3 : 1
Badbaado
07 Aug
Badbaado
4 : 2
Raadsan
20 Jul
Jubba
2 : 7
Badbaado
17 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 3
Dekedda
13 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 2
Mogadishu City
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)