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Jazeera vs Heegan

Somalia Somalia

National league
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The National league game between Jazeera and Heegan finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Jazeera
20%
Draws
57%
Heegan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Heegan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Jazeera haven't matched Heegan's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Heegan a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Jazeera Clean Sheet 10%
Heegan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jazeera Heegan
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 19
Draws 7 8
Losses 17 3
Goals Scored 1.6 2.4
Goals Conceded 2.33 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 National league
Heegan vs Jazeera
4:0
May 24, 2026 National league
Jazeera vs Heegan
1:1
Apr 14, 2025 National league
Jazeera vs Heegan
0:4
Dec 31, 2024 National league
Heegan vs Jazeera
5:0
Jun 20, 2024 National league
Heegan vs Jazeera
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jazeera 10 / 100
Heegan 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jazeera Heegan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Heegan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Jazeera found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Heegan has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Jazeera stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jazeera VS Heegan
2.25 Goals Scored 2.63
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jazeera

(Home)
12 Aug
Jeenyo
6 : 0
Jazeera
08 Aug
Heegan
4 : 0
Jazeera
22 Jul
Jazeera
1 : 3
Gaadiidka
18 Jul
Jazeera
9 : 1
Gantaalaha Afgooye
14 Jul
Horseed
2 : 2
Jazeera
Page 1 of 6

Heegan

(Away)
05 Sept
EL Merriekh Bentiu
1 : 0
Heegan
13 Aug
Mogadishu City
0 : 1
Heegan
08 Aug
Heegan
4 : 0
Jazeera
21 Jul
Heegan
2 : 1
Elman
16 Jul
Jeenyo
0 : 0
Heegan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)