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Jazz Pori vs TPV

Finland Finland

Ykkonen Porin Stadion, Pori
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Pazio J.
21'
Sub
Ylinen T. In: Pienmunne N.
Out: Ylinen T.
37' Event
Lakkamaki J.

AI Match Summary

Jazz Pori in this Ykkonen matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jazz Pori.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Jazz Pori
15%
Draws
32%
TPV
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jazz Pori

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • TPV haven't matched Jazz Pori's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Jazz Pori's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Ykkonen form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Jazz Pori have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Jazz Pori Clean Sheet 18%
TPV Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jazz Pori TPV
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.4 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Ykkonen
TPV vs Jazz Pori
1:3
Jul 24, 2026 Ykkonen
Jazz Pori vs TPV
4:0
May 2, 2026 Ykkonen
TPV vs Jazz Pori
0:2
Aug 20, 2021 Kakkonen Group B
Jazz Pori vs TPV
2:1
Jun 3, 2021 Kakkonen Group B
TPV vs Jazz Pori
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jazz Pori Compare

Top Goalscorer Lakkamaki J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mattila E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

TPV Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jazz Pori 85 / 100
TPV 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jazz Pori TPV

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jazz Pori Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jazz Pori's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

TPV's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Jazz Pori went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jazz Pori VS TPV
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jazz Pori

(Home)
26 Sept
TPV
1 : 3
Jazz Pori
19 Sept
Jazz Pori
0 : 2
VJS
11 Sept
Jazz Pori
3 : 0
KPV Kokkola
29 Aug
Jazz Pori
2 : 0
FC Inter Turku 2
23 Aug
VJS
1 : 1
Jazz Pori
Page 1 of 6

TPV

(Away)
26 Sept
TPV
1 : 3
Jazz Pori
20 Sept
FC Inter Turku 2
3 : 0
TPV
13 Sept
TPV
4 : 2
KuPS Akatemia
29 Aug
TPV
0 : 2
Keski-Uusimaa
22 Aug
FC Inter Turku 2
0 : 1
TPV
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampere Utd 22 13 5 4 47:18 44
2 RoPS Rovaniemi 22 11 7 4 47:32 40
3 SalPa 22 10 6 6 41:35 36
4 Keski-Uusimaa 22 9 8 5 40:30 35
5 OLS Oulu 22 9 7 6 43:35 34
6 JJK Jyvaskyla 22 8 7 7 51:42 31
7 VJS 22 7 10 5 38:31 31
8 Jazz Pori 22 9 6 7 32:29 30
9 TPV 22 6 6 10 30:40 24
10 FC Inter Turku 2 22 5 5 12 32:51 20
11 KuPS Akatemia 22 3 6 13 37:51 15
12 KPV Kokkola 22 4 3 15 24:68 15
Promotion - Ykkonen (Championship Group)
Relegation - Ykkonen (Relegation Group)