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Jedinstvo Surcin vs Torlak

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - Belgrade 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Srpska Liga - Belgrade 2025/2026 game between Jedinstvo Surcin and Torlak finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Torlak.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Jedinstvo Surcin
30%
Draws
58%
Torlak
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Torlak

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Torlak carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Torlak a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Jedinstvo Surcin Clean Sheet 10%
Torlak Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jedinstvo Surcin Torlak
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 15
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.1 2.21
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Torlak vs Jedinstvo Surcin
0:0
Apr 18, 2026 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Jedinstvo Surcin vs Torlak
0:4
Oct 4, 2025 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Torlak vs Jedinstvo Surcin
1:1
Apr 26, 2024 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Torlak vs Jedinstvo Surcin
1:2
Oct 15, 2023 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Jedinstvo Surcin vs Torlak
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jedinstvo Surcin 10 / 100
Torlak 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jedinstvo Surcin Torlak

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Torlak Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jedinstvo Surcin found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Torlak has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Jedinstvo Surcin stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jedinstvo Surcin VS Torlak
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Jedinstvo Surcin

(Home)
03 Oct
Jedinstvo Surcin
1 : 1
Polet Dorcol
26 Sept
Torlak
0 : 0
Jedinstvo Surcin
19 Sept
Jedinstvo Surcin
1 : 5
Bezanija
12 Sept
Prva Iskra
2 : 1
Jedinstvo Surcin
05 Sept
Jedinstvo Surcin
0 : 2
Brodarac
Page 1 of 6

Torlak

(Away)
02 Oct
Brodarac
1 : 2
Torlak
26 Sept
Torlak
0 : 0
Jedinstvo Surcin
19 Sept
Bacevac
1 : 3
Torlak
12 Sept
Torlak
5 : 1
Zvezdara
05 Sept
Buducnost Dobanovci
4 : 0
Torlak
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teleoptik 26 21 5 0 77:23 68
2 Radnicki Obrenovac 26 17 4 5 70:40 55
3 Torlak 26 14 5 7 59:30 47
4 Brodarac 26 12 6 8 43:29 42
5 Padinska Skela 26 10 7 9 31:32 37
6 Jedinstvo Surcin 26 10 6 10 25:30 36
7 Buducnost Dobanovci 26 9 9 8 35:32 36
8 Nika Lepusnica 26 9 9 8 43:24 36
9 Prva Iskra 26 9 6 11 38:39 33
10 Polet Dorcol 26 9 5 12 36:40 32
11 Zvezdara 26 9 5 12 33:45 32
12 BASK 26 8 6 12 27:31 29
13 Radnicki Beograd 26 4 7 15 25:53 18
14 Kolubara 26 1 0 25 9:103 3
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga (Main)
Relegation - Srpska Liga - Belgrade 2025/2026 (Relegation)