Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jedinstvo Ub vs Smederevo

Serbia Serbia

Mozzart Bet Prva Liga 2025/2026 Stadion Dragan Dzajić, Ub
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Okain E.
25' Event
Kodzic N.
33'
Sub
Gajic U. In: Karajcic V.
Out: Gajic U.

AI Match Summary

The Mozzart Bet Prva Liga 2025/2026 game between Jedinstvo Ub and Smederevo finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Smederevo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Jedinstvo Ub
6%
Draws
90%
Smederevo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Smederevo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Smederevo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Smederevo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Jedinstvo Ub Clean Sheet 10%
Smederevo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jedinstvo Ub Smederevo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.88 1.75
Goals Conceded 2 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2026 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Jedinstvo Ub vs Smederevo
0:3
Sep 28, 2025 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Smederevo vs Jedinstvo Ub
1:1
May 24, 2024 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Jedinstvo Ub vs Smederevo
2:1
Mar 2, 2024 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Smederevo vs Jedinstvo Ub
0:2
Sep 18, 2023 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Jedinstvo Ub vs Smederevo
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jedinstvo Ub Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Smederevo Compare

Top Goalscorer Kodzic N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Glavinic D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jedinstvo Ub 10 / 100
Smederevo 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jedinstvo Ub Smederevo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SME Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jedinstvo Ub found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Smederevo let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Jedinstvo Ub went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jedinstvo Ub VS Smederevo
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jedinstvo Ub

(Home)
15 Jul
Jedinstvo Ub
1 : 1
Vrsac
03 Jul
Jedinstvo Ub
0 : 1
Javor
09 May
Jedinstvo Ub
1 : 3
Zemun
04 May
Vrsac
2 : 0
Jedinstvo Ub
30 Apr
Jedinstvo Ub
1 : 2
Crvena zvezda
Page 1 of 6

Smederevo

(Away)
19 Jul
Smederevo
4 : 2
Mladost DG
15 Jul
Javor
2 : 0
Smederevo
29 May
Trayal Krusevac
1 : 5
Smederevo
24 May
Smederevo
1 : 0
Kabel Novi Sad
17 May
Dubocica
1 : 2
Smederevo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zemun30189348:2663
2Macva Sabac30169541:2557
3FK Vozdovac30168647:2356
4Loznica30139830:2548
5Jedinstvo Ub301111844:3944
6Vrsac30914730:2741
7Graficar Beograd3010101030:2940
8Smederevo301171234:2840
9Dinamo Jug301012831:2938
10Tekstilac Odzaci309101134:4137
11Borac 192630991230:3336
12Dubocica307101329:4431
13Kabel Novi Sad306121222:4030
14Trayal Krusevac30781533:3629
15FAP30681626:4726
16Usce304101623:4022
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)