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JEF United W vs Nojima Stella W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

WE League Cup Women
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
04:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the WE League Cup Women. Little to choose between these two on current form. JEF United W have averaged 1.03 scored and 1.21 conceded recently, against Nojima Stella W's 1.45 scored and 1.55 conceded. Past meetings favor JEF United W slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 14, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.50) point toward JEF United W. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
JEF United W
15%
Draws
36%
Nojima Stella W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: JEF United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Nojima Stella W haven't matched JEF United W's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on JEF United W taking it.
  • JEF United W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor JEF United W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
JEF United W Clean Sheet 16%
Nojima Stella W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric JEF United W Nojima Stella W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 12
Draws 4 2
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.03 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 WE League Women
JEF United W vs Nojima Stella W
2:2
Oct 22, 2025 WE League Women
Nojima Stella W vs JEF United W
0:0
Apr 26, 2025 WE League Women
Nojima Stella W vs JEF United W
4:1
Sep 29, 2024 WE League Women
JEF United W vs Nojima Stella W
2:1
May 2, 2024 WE League Women
JEF United W vs Nojima Stella W
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

JEF United W 41 / 100
Nojima Stella W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
JEF United W Nojima Stella W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

JEF United W's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Nojima Stella W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

JEF United W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

JEF United W VS Nojima Stella W
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

JEF United W

(Home)
04 Oct
Saitama W
2 : 1
JEF United W
27 Sept
Omiya Ardija W
1 : 2
JEF United W
23 Sept
JEF United W
3 : 2
Inac Kobe Leonesa W
19 Sept
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
0 : 1
JEF United W
12 Sept
JEF United W
3 : 2
Urawa W
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Nojima Stella W

(Away)
04 Oct
Nojima Stella W
1 : 2
Omiya Ardija W
27 Sept
AC Parceiro Nagano W
0 : 2
Nojima Stella W
23 Sept
Nojima Stella W
1 : 2
Saitama W
19 Sept
Inac Kobe Leonesa W
1 : 2
Nojima Stella W
12 Sept
Nojima Stella W
2 : 0
Mynavi Sendai W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 JEF United W 5 4 0 1 10:7 11
2 Nojima Stella W 5 3 0 2 8:5 11
3 Saitama W 5 4 0 1 9:6 10
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 5 3 0 2 9:5 9
5 Omiya Ardija W 5 3 0 2 8:6 9
6 Beleza W 5 3 0 2 11:10 9
7 C-Osaka W 5 3 0 2 9:8 9
8 Mynavi Sendai W 5 2 0 3 4:6 8
9 Urawa W 5 2 0 3 10:9 7
10 Albirex Niigata W 5 2 0 3 7:8 5
11 Inac Kobe Leonesa W 5 1 0 4 6:11 2
12 AC Parceiro Nagano W 5 0 0 5 0:10 0
Promotion - WE League Cup Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - WE League Cup Women (Play Offs)