Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jeju SK vs Bucheon FC 1995

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Jeju World Cup Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Celestine J.
45'
Lee Eui-Hyeong
46'
Sub
Kim H. In: Kim Hyeon-Yeob
Out: Kim H.

AI Match Summary

The K League 1 game between Jeju SK and Bucheon FC 1995 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jeju SK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Jeju SK
40%
Draws
29%
Bucheon FC 1995
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Jeju SK haven't matched Bucheon FC 1995's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular K League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Jeju SK Clean Sheet 20%
Bucheon FC 1995 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jeju SK Bucheon FC 1995
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 7 11
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 0.88 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 K League 1
Bucheon FC 1995 vs Jeju SK
0:1
Apr 4, 2026 K League 1
Jeju SK vs Bucheon FC 1995
1:0
Apr 16, 2025 Korean Cup
Bucheon FC 1995 vs Jeju SK
1:0
Sep 27, 2020 K League 2
Bucheon FC 1995 vs Jeju SK
0:0
Sep 19, 2020 K League 2
Bucheon FC 1995 vs Jeju SK
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jeju SK Compare

Top Goalscorer Celestine J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Bucheon FC 1995 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jeju SK 32 / 100
Bucheon FC 1995 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jeju SK Bucheon FC 1995

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jeju SK found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Jeju SK has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Bucheon FC 1995 let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Jeju SK VS Bucheon FC 1995
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Seoul17113328:1236
2Jeonbuk1785425:1529
3Gangwon1777321:1128
4Pohang1784518:1428
5Ulsan Hyundai1783624:2427
6Anyang1758422:1923
7Incheon1763821:1921
8Jeju SK1755714:1720
9Bucheon FC 19951747614:1819
10Daejeon1746719:1818
11Gimcheon Sangmu17210517:2316
12Gwangju FC1715118:418