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Jeju SK vs Gwangju FC

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Jeju World Cup Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Italo
43'
Ha Seung-Un
44'
Shin Chang-Moo

AI Match Summary

The K League 1 game between Jeju SK and Gwangju FC finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Jeju SK
11%
Draws
9%
Gwangju FC
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Jeju SK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jeju SK come out ahead of Gwangju FC on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Jeju SK's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Gwangju FC here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Jeju SK Clean Sheet 68%
Gwangju FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jeju SK Gwangju FC
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 6
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 0.75 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 K League 1
Jeju SK vs Gwangju FC
0:0
Nov 2, 2025 K League 1
Gwangju FC vs Jeju SK
2:0
Aug 30, 2025 K League 1
Jeju SK vs Gwangju FC
0:1
Jun 18, 2025 K League 1
Jeju SK vs Gwangju FC
0:1
Apr 6, 2025 K League 1
Gwangju FC vs Jeju SK
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jeju SK 86 / 100
Gwangju FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jeju SK Gwangju FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JEJ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jeju SK scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Gwangju FC conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Jeju SK stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Gwangju FC has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jeju SK VS Gwangju FC
0.75 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Seoul17113328:1236
2Jeonbuk1785425:1529
3Gangwon1777321:1128
4Pohang1784518:1428
5Ulsan Hyundai1783624:2427
6Anyang1758422:1923
7Incheon1763821:1921
8Jeju SK1755714:1720
9Bucheon FC 19951747614:1819
10Daejeon1746719:1818
11Gimcheon Sangmu17210517:2316
12Gwangju FC1715118:418