Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jelgava 2 vs FK Ilukste

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1. Liga 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga 2012 game between Jelgava 2 and FK Ilukste finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FK Ilukste.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Jelgava 2
15%
Draws
0%
FK Ilukste
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jelgava 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • FK Ilukste have managed 1.13 goals a game lately — Jelgava 2 are scoring more at 1.17.
  • Jelgava 2 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Jelgava 2 Clean Sheet 10%
FK Ilukste Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jelgava 2 FK Ilukste
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 3
Draws 3 6
Losses 24 21
Goals Scored 1.17 1.13
Goals Conceded 3.43 3.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2012 1. Liga
Jelgava 2 vs FK Ilukste
0:5
May 27, 2012 1. Liga
FK Ilukste vs Jelgava 2
7:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jelgava 2 83 / 100
FK Ilukste 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jelgava 2 FK Ilukste

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jelgava 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Ilukste's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

FK Ilukste lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Jelgava 2 found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Jelgava 2 VS FK Ilukste
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
3.25 Goals Conceded 3.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jelgava 2

(Home)
10 Nov
Gulbene
4 : 0
Jelgava 2
03 Nov
Jelgava 2
1 : 3
Tukums 2000
27 Oct
Jelgava 2
1 : 2
Rezekne
20 Oct
SFK United
4 : 0
Jelgava 2
12 Oct
Jelgava 2
3 : 0
FK Auda Riga
Page 1 of 6

FK Ilukste

(Away)
09 Nov
FK Ilukste
2 : 10
FK Liepaja
02 Nov
FC Daugava Daugavpils
6 : 1
FK Ilukste
27 Oct
FK Ilukste
0 : 5
Ventspils
21 Oct
FK Daugava Riga
7 : 1
FK Ilukste
14 Oct
FK Ilukste
1 : 7
Ventspils
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Liepajas Metalurgs 2 25 21 4 0 92:20 67
2 FK Ilukste 26 18 3 5 87:38 57
3 Skonto 2 26 17 5 4 56:32 56
4 BFC Daugavpils 26 15 7 4 49:20 52
5 RFS 26 16 3 7 62:33 51
6 Ventspils 2 26 15 3 8 57:37 48
7 FK 1625 Liepaja 26 11 7 8 47:45 40
8 Valmiera 26 8 3 15 39:53 27
9 Spartaks Jurmala 2 26 7 5 14 48:71 26
10 Rezekne 25 8 1 16 49:57 25
11 FK Metta 2 26 7 3 16 33:52 24
12 FK Auda Riga 26 6 3 17 36:51 21
13 Tukums 2000 26 4 1 21 28:116 13
14 Jelgava 2 26 3 2 21 29:87 11
Promotion - Virslīga 2013 (Main)
Promotion - Virslīga 2012 (Relegation)