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Jelgava 2 vs Tukums 2000 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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1. Liga 2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga 2011 game between Jelgava 2 and Tukums 2000 finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jelgava 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Jelgava 2
15%
Draws
49%
Tukums 2000
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tukums 2000

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Tukums 2000 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Tukums 2000 a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 1. Liga 2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Jelgava 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Tukums 2000 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jelgava 2 Tukums 2000
Matches Played 32 41
Wins 3 10
Draws 4 9
Losses 25 22
Goals Scored 1.28 1.8
Goals Conceded 3.47 2.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 3, 2013 1. Liga
Jelgava 2 vs Tukums 2000
1:3
Jul 12, 2013 1. Liga
Tukums 2000 vs Jelgava 2
7:1
Oct 7, 2012 1. Liga
Tukums 2000 vs Jelgava 2
3:1
Jun 17, 2012 1. Liga
Jelgava 2 vs Tukums 2000
3:1
Oct 22, 2011 1. Liga
Jelgava 2 vs Tukums 2000
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jelgava 2 10 / 100
Tukums 2000 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jelgava 2 Tukums 2000

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tukums 2000 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tukums 2000 let in goals in 95% of their last 41 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Jelgava 2 scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Tukums 2000 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tukums 2000
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 2.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jelgava 2

(Home)
10 Nov
Gulbene
4 : 0
Jelgava 2
03 Nov
Jelgava 2
1 : 3
Tukums 2000
27 Oct
Jelgava 2
1 : 2
Rezekne
20 Oct
SFK United
4 : 0
Jelgava 2
12 Oct
Jelgava 2
3 : 0
FK Auda Riga
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Tukums 2000

(Away)
20 Sept
Tukums 2000
1 : 1
Grobina
10 Sept
Super Nova
1 : 0
Tukums 2000
05 Sept
Tukums 2000
2 : 1
Ogre United
29 Aug
Tukums 2000
1 : 4
Jelgava
21 Aug
FK Auda Riga
3 : 0
Tukums 2000
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Metta 24 17 5 2 61:14 56
2 Liepajas Metalurgs 2 24 17 2 5 87:30 53
3 Spartaks Jurmala 24 16 4 4 74:20 52
4 RFS 24 16 3 5 68:25 51
5 FK 1625 Liepaja 24 12 3 9 56:39 39
6 Ventspils 2 24 9 7 8 45:32 34
7 Rezekne 24 9 3 12 41:51 30
8 BFC Daugavpils 24 8 5 11 37:47 29
9 FK Auda Riga 24 8 4 12 35:48 28
10 Valmiera 24 9 1 14 33:49 28
11 Tukums 2000 24 5 7 12 35:54 22
12 Jelgava 2 24 5 5 14 30:61 20
13 Ogre 24 0 1 23 19:151 1
Promotion - Virslīga 2012 (Main)
Promotion - Virslīga 2011 (Relegation)