Sport Picks
Jelgava vs FC Jurmala
Latvia
Virslīga 2014 Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs, Jelgava 
Match Events
19'
19'
Abot N.
37'
37'
Savcenkovs I.
80'
80'
Savcenkovs I.
AI Match Summary
The Virslīga 2014 game between Jelgava and FC Jurmala finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jelgava.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jelgava
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Jelgava come out ahead of FC Jurmala on wins alone.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Jelgava taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Jelgava have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Jelgava Clean Sheet 68%
FC Jurmala Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jelgava | FC Jurmala |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 42 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 1 |
| Draws | 9 | 4 |
| Losses | 17 | 24 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 0.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 3.62 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.48 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 25, 2014 Virsliga
Jelgava vs FC Jurmala
2:1
Aug 13, 2014 Virsliga
FC Jurmala vs Jelgava
0:2
Jul 20, 2014 Latvian Cup
FC Jurmala vs Jelgava
1:7
Jun 18, 2014 Virsliga
Jelgava vs FC Jurmala
5:0
Apr 26, 2014 Virsliga
FC Jurmala vs Jelgava
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Jelgava Compare
Top Goalscorer Savcenkovs I.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74
FC Jurmala Compare
Top Goalscorer Abot N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jelgava 95 / 100
FC Jurmala 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jelgava FC Jurmala
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Jelgava Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Jurmala let in goals in 97% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
FC Jurmala lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Jelgava went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Jelgava VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Jelgava
(Home) 19 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1 Riga FC
12 Sept
Grobina
0 : 0 Jelgava
05 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1 Super Nova
29 Aug
Tukums 2000
1 : 4 Jelgava
22 Aug
Ogre United
2 : 3 Jelgava
Page 1 of 9
19 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1 Riga FC
05 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1 Super Nova
09 Aug
Jelgava
0 : 1 FK Auda Riga
26 Jul
Jelgava
0 : 2 FK Liepaja
20 Jul
Jelgava
0 : 1 RFS
Page 1 of 5
FC Jurmala
(Away) 08 Nov
BFC Daugavpils
4 : 2 FC Jurmala
01 Nov
FC Jurmala
1 : 7 Skonto
25 Oct
Jelgava
2 : 1 FC Jurmala
18 Oct
FC Jurmala
1 : 2 Spartaks Jurmala
04 Oct
FK Liepaja
6 : 0 FC Jurmala
Page 1 of 6
08 Nov
BFC Daugavpils
4 : 2 FC Jurmala
25 Oct
Jelgava
2 : 1 FC Jurmala
04 Oct
FK Liepaja
6 : 0 FC Jurmala
19 Sept
FK Daugava Riga
3 : 1 FC Jurmala
17 Aug
Skonto
4 : 3 FC Jurmala
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ventspils | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 75:20 | 83 |
| 2 | Skonto | 36 | 25 | 1 | 10 | 77:34 | 71 |
| 3 | Jelgava | 36 | 20 | 10 | 6 | 57:27 | 70 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 36 | 21 | 3 | 12 | 72:45 | 66 |
| 5 | FC Daugava Daugavpils | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 53:39 | 65 |
| 6 | Spartaks Jurmala | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 38:32 | 51 |
| 7 | FK Daugava Riga | 36 | 13 | 4 | 19 | 48:64 | 43 |
| 8 | BFC Daugavpils | 36 | 8 | 5 | 23 | 30:65 | 29 |
| 9 | FK Metta | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26:69 | 16 |
| 10 | FC Jurmala | 36 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 29:110 | 7 |
Relegation - Virslīga 2014 (Relegation)
Promotion - Champions League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
