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Jelgava vs FC Jurmala

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Virslīga 2014 Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jelgava play FC Jurmala in the Virslīga 2014. Jelgava are favorites here. Recently, Jelgava averaged 0.63 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. FC Jurmala averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. In past meetings, Jelgava won 4, FC Jurmala won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 25, 2014 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Jelgava and 1.19 for FC Jurmala. This points to a Jelgava double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Jelgava
6%
Draws
4%
FC Jurmala
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Jelgava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Jelgava has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to FC Jurmala.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Jelgava.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Virslīga 2014 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Jelgava Clean Sheet 68%
FC Jurmala Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jelgava FC Jurmala
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 11 1
Draws 7 4
Losses 15 24
Goals Scored 0.63 0
Goals Conceded 1.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2014 Virsliga
Jelgava vs FC Jurmala
2:1
Aug 13, 2014 Virsliga
FC Jurmala vs Jelgava
0:2
Jul 20, 2014 Latvian Cup
FC Jurmala vs Jelgava
1:7
Jun 18, 2014 Virsliga
Jelgava vs FC Jurmala
5:0
Apr 26, 2014 Virsliga
FC Jurmala vs Jelgava
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jelgava Compare

Top Goalscorer Savcenkovs I.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

FC Jurmala Compare

Top Goalscorer Abot N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jelgava 95 / 100
FC Jurmala 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jelgava FC Jurmala

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jelgava scored in 58% of their last 33 games.

FC Jurmala let in goals in 97% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Jelgava went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

FC Jurmala lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jelgava VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ventspils36265575:2083
2Skonto362511077:3471
3Jelgava362010657:2770
4FK Liepaja362131272:4566
5FC Daugava Daugavpils36198953:3965
6Spartaks Jurmala361491338:3251
7FK Daugava Riga361341948:6443
8BFC Daugavpils36852330:6529
9FK Metta36372626:6916
10FC Jurmala36262829:1107