Sport Picks

Latvia

Latvian Cup 2014/2015 Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs, Jelgava

FK Daugava Riga

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Latvian Cup 2014/2015. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Jelgava at 1.42 goals for, 1.37 against; FK Daugava Riga at 1.48 for, 1.84 against. Past meetings favor Jelgava slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 4, 2015, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.48 vs 1.31, favoring Jelgava. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%

Jelgava

15%

Draws

FK Daugava Riga

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jelgava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

Jelgava have won more games recently than FK Daugava Riga.
85% — that's where the model lands on Jelgava taking it.
Jelgava have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Jelgava, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%

Jelgava Clean Sheet 18%

FK Daugava Riga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Jelgava	FK Daugava Riga
Matches Played	38	25
Wins	15	10
Draws	8	3
Losses	15	12
Goals Scored	1.42	1.48
Goals Conceded	1.37	1.84
Expected Goals (xG)	1.48	1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2015 Latvian Cup

Jelgava vs FK Daugava Riga

0:0

Nov 1, 2014 Virsliga

FK Daugava Riga vs Jelgava

1:3

Aug 17, 2014 Virsliga

FK Daugava Riga vs Jelgava

0:3

Jun 21, 2014 Virsliga

Jelgava vs FK Daugava Riga

1:1

May 1, 2014 Virsliga

Jelgava vs FK Daugava Riga

4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jelgava 67 / 100

FK Daugava Riga 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Jelgava FK Daugava Riga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jelgava Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Daugava Riga's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

FK Daugava Riga let in goals in 75% of their last 24 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Jelgava stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jelgava VS -

1.75 Goals Scored 0

1.63 Goals Conceded 0

100% Over 1.5 0%

50% Over 2.5 0%

50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jelgava

(Home)

12 Sept

Grobina

0 : 0

Jelgava

05 Sept

Jelgava

0 : 1

Super Nova

29 Aug

Tukums 2000

1 : 4

Jelgava

22 Aug

Ogre United

2 : 3

Jelgava

09 Aug

Jelgava

0 : 1

FK Auda Riga

Page 1 of 8

FK Daugava Riga

(Away)

04 Apr

Jelgava

FK Daugava Riga

08 Nov

Skonto

4 : 1

FK Daugava Riga

01 Nov

FK Daugava Riga

1 : 3

Jelgava

26 Oct

Spartaks Jurmala

1 : 0

FK Daugava Riga

20 Oct

FK Daugava Riga

2 : 4

FK Liepaja

Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Jelgava -

TBD -

FC Jurmala -

FK Smiltene -

TBD -

Saldus -

SFK United -

TBD -

FK Carnikava -

TBD -

Riga United 2

Rinuzi 7

TBD -

FK Daugava Riga -

Skonto -

TBD -

FK Metta -

FK 1625 Liepaja -

TBD -

FK Auda Riga -

RTU -

TBD -

Lielupe 0

Kuldigas NSS 9

TBD -

Valmiera -

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

Spartaks Jurmala -

TBD -

Preilu BJSS -

TBD -

Upesciems -

TBD -

FK Dobele 0

Caramba 2

Salaspils FK -

TBD -

RFS -

FC Daugava Daugavpils -

TBD -

Grobina 4

Fortuna 2

TBD -

Balvu SC -

Ludzas NSS -

TBD -

Nica FC 1

FK Bandava 2

Dinamo Riga 1

DSVK Traktors 0

TBD -

Adazi -

TBD -

Ogre -

BFC Daugavpils -

TBD -

Rezekne -

TBD -

FK Laidze -

TBD -

FK Alberts 0

Monarhs 2

AFA Olaine -

TBD -

Tukums 2000 -

Gulbene -

TBD -

Jekabpils SC -

Plavinas -

TBD -

Marienburg -

TBD -

Zelis Gulbene 0

Bebri 6

TBD -

Ventspils -

1/64-finals

Jelgava -

TBD -

FC Jurmala -

FK Smiltene -

TBD -

Saldus -

SFK United -

TBD -

FK Carnikava 4

Rinuzi 5

TBD -

FK Daugava Riga -

Skonto -

TBD -

FK Metta -

FK 1625 Liepaja -

TBD -

FK Auda Riga -

RTU 4

Kuldigas NSS 2

TBD -

Valmiera -

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

Spartaks Jurmala -

TBD -

Preilu BJSS -

TBD -

Upesciems 2

Caramba 3

Salaspils FK -

TBD -

RFS -

FC Daugava Daugavpils -

TBD -

Grobina 4

Balvu SC 3

Ludzas NSS 2

FK Bandava 3

Dinamo Riga 2

Adazi 0

TBD -

Ogre -

BFC Daugavpils -

TBD -

Rezekne -

TBD -

FK Laidze 1

Monarhs 8

AFA Olaine -

TBD -

Tukums 2000 -

Gulbene -

TBD -

Jekabpils SC -

Plavinas -

TBD -

Marienburg 0

Bebri 8

TBD -

Ventspils -

1/32-finals

Jelgava -

TBD -

FC Jurmala -

FK Smiltene 4

Saldus 0

SFK United 1

Rinuzi 2

TBD -

FK Daugava Riga -

Skonto -

TBD -

FK Metta -

FK 1625 Liepaja -

FK Auda Riga -

RTU 1

Valmiera 2

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

Spartaks Jurmala -

TBD -

Preilu BJSS 2

Caramba 1

Salaspils FK 1

RFS 4

FC Daugava Daugavpils -

TBD -

Grobina 5

FK Bandava 2

Dinamo Riga 0

Ogre 4

BFC Daugavpils -

TBD -

Rezekne -

Monarhs -

AFA Olaine 0

Tukums 2000 1

Gulbene 4

Jekabpils SC 1

Plavinas 0

Bebri 5

TBD -

Ventspils -

1/16-finals

Jelgava -

TBD -

FC Jurmala -

FK Smiltene 2

Rinuzi 0

TBD -

FK Daugava Riga -

Skonto -

TBD -

FK Metta -

FK 1625 Liepaja 3

Valmiera 0

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

Spartaks Jurmala -

TBD -

Preilu BJSS 2

RFS 5

FC Daugava Daugavpils -

TBD -

Grobina 2

Ogre 3

BFC Daugavpils -

TBD -

Rezekne 0

Tukums 2000 1

Gulbene 3

Bebri 0

TBD -

Ventspils -

1/8-finals

Jelgava 7

FC Jurmala 1

FK Smiltene 0

FK Daugava Riga 2

Skonto 2

FK Metta 0

FK 1625 Liepaja 0

FK Liepaja 6

Spartaks Jurmala 3

RFS 0

FC Daugava Daugavpils 0

Ogre 3

BFC Daugavpils 4

Tukums 2000 1

Gulbene 0

Ventspils 4

Quarter-finals

Jelgava -

FK Daugava Riga -

Skonto 1

FK Liepaja 2

Spartaks Jurmala 5

Ogre 0

BFC Daugavpils 0

Ventspils 3

Semi-finals

Jelgava 2

FK Liepaja 0

Spartaks Jurmala 1

Ventspils 2

Final

Jelgava 2

Ventspils 0

Jelgava vs FK Daugava Riga

Latvia

Jelgava

FK Daugava Riga

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Jelgava

FK Daugava Riga

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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