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Jelgava vs FK Riga 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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1. Liga 2005 Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs, Jelgava
Jelgava Logo

Jelgava

2 - 0
FT
FK Riga 2 Logo

FK Riga 2

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga 2005 game between Jelgava and FK Riga 2 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jelgava.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Jelgava
20%
Draws
47%
FK Riga 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Riga 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Jelgava haven't matched FK Riga 2's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans FK Riga 2's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 1. Liga 2005 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Jelgava have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Jelgava Clean Sheet 20%
FK Riga 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jelgava FK Riga 2
Matches Played 42 32
Wins 12 18
Draws 11 4
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 1.14 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2006 1. Liga
Jelgava vs FK Riga 2
2:0
May 28, 2006 1. Liga
FK Riga 2 vs Jelgava
3:2
Oct 29, 2005 1. Liga
Jelgava vs FK Riga 2
2:0
Jul 23, 2005 1. Liga
FK Riga 2 vs Jelgava
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jelgava 10 / 100
FK Riga 2 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jelgava FK Riga 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Riga 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jelgava's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 42 recent games.

FK Riga 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Jelgava has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jelgava VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jelgava

(Home)
19 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1
Riga FC
12 Sept
Grobina
0 : 0
Jelgava
05 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1
Super Nova
29 Aug
Tukums 2000
1 : 4
Jelgava
22 Aug
Ogre United
2 : 3
Jelgava
Page 1 of 9

FK Riga 2

(Away)
04 Nov
Tranzits
1 : 2
FK Riga 2
28 Oct
FK Riga 2
12 : 2
Abuls
22 Oct
Valmiera
1 : 1
FK Riga 2
14 Oct
FK Riga 2
3 : 0
FK Auda Riga
08 Oct
Ditton 2
2 : 1
FK Riga 2
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Skonto 2 26 20 5 1 81:18 65
2 Ventspils 2 26 15 7 4 98:25 52
3 Blazma 26 15 3 8 68:43 48
4 Liepajas Metalurgs 2 26 14 5 7 57:23 47
5 FC Daugava Daugavpils 26 14 5 7 59:28 47
6 Valmiera 26 9 8 9 37:39 35
7 JFC Skonto 26 8 11 7 44:31 35
8 FK Riga 2 26 10 5 11 33:41 35
9 FK Jurmala VV 2 26 9 7 10 48:48 34
10 Zibens Zemessardze 26 7 8 11 45:56 29
11 Jelgava 26 8 2 16 43:59 26
12 FK Auda Riga 26 8 2 16 27:46 26
13 FK Alberts 26 5 3 18 39:111 18
14 Ogre 26 3 3 20 30:141 12
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