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Jelgava vs Olimps Riga

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Virslīga 2011
Jelgava Logo

Jelgava

2 - 1
FT
Olimps Riga Logo

Olimps Riga

Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
42' Event
90' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Virslīga 2011 game between Jelgava and Olimps Riga finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jelgava.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Jelgava
15%
Draws
0%
Olimps Riga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jelgava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Olimps Riga haven't matched Jelgava's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Jelgava's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Jelgava have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Jelgava Clean Sheet 68%
Olimps Riga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jelgava Olimps Riga
Matches Played 46 30
Wins 21 1
Draws 9 3
Losses 16 26
Goals Scored 1.57 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.28 3.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2011 Virsliga
Olimps Riga vs Jelgava
1:3
Sep 14, 2011 Virsliga
Jelgava vs Olimps Riga
2:1
Jul 31, 2011 Latvian Cup
Jelgava vs Olimps Riga
3:1
Jul 10, 2011 Virsliga
Olimps Riga vs Jelgava
1:3
May 15, 2011 Virsliga
Jelgava vs Olimps Riga
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jelgava 95 / 100
Olimps Riga 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jelgava Olimps Riga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jelgava Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olimps Riga let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Olimps Riga's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Jelgava found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (45 games).

Scoring Trends

Jelgava VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jelgava

(Home)
12 Sept
Grobina
0 : 0
Jelgava
05 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1
Super Nova
29 Aug
Tukums 2000
1 : 4
Jelgava
22 Aug
Ogre United
2 : 3
Jelgava
09 Aug
Jelgava
0 : 1
FK Auda Riga
Page 1 of 10

Olimps Riga

(Away)
13 Nov
Spartaks Jurmala
2 : 0
Olimps Riga
10 Nov
Olimps Riga
1 : 2
Spartaks Jurmala
05 Nov
Olimps Riga
1 : 3
Jelgava
30 Oct
FC Jurmala
6 : 1
Olimps Riga
15 Oct
FK Daugava Riga
4 : 0
Olimps Riga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Liepaja 32 22 4 6 72:26 70
2 Ventspils 32 21 6 5 73:20 69
3 FC Daugava Daugavpils 32 19 7 6 59:28 64
4 Skonto 32 17 9 6 62:21 60
5 FC Jurmala 32 12 8 12 45:42 44
6 Jelgava 32 13 4 15 47:54 43
7 Gulbene 32 7 7 18 39:67 28
8 FK Daugava Riga 32 5 6 21 34:75 21
9 Olimps Riga 32 1 3 28 19:117 6
Relegation - Virslīga 2011 (Relegation)
Promotion - Champions League 2012/2013 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2012/2013 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2012/2013 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2012/2013 (Qualification)