Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jelgava/Jauniesi vs Brali

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-4, with Brali advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Jelgava/Jauniesi
25%
Draws
35%
Brali
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Jelgava/Jauniesi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Jelgava/Jauniesi haven't matched Brali's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Jelgava/Jauniesi taking it.
  • Brali arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Brali, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 100%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 100%
Over 3.5 Goals 90%
Over 4.5 Goals 41%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 91%
Jelgava/Jauniesi Clean Sheet 10%
Brali Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jelgava/Jauniesi Brali
Matches Played 1 5
Wins 0 1
Draws 0 0
Losses 1 4
Goals Scored 3 2
Goals Conceded 4 3.8
Expected Goals (xG) 3.40 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2011 Latvian Cup
Jelgava/Jauniesi vs Brali
3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jelgava/Jauniesi 83 / 100
Brali 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jelgava/Jauniesi Brali

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jelgava/Jauniesi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jelgava/Jauniesi's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 1 recent games.

Brali has conceded goals in 100% of their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Away concern: Brali has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jelgava/Jauniesi VS Brali
3 Goals Scored 2
4 Goals Conceded 3.8
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
100% Over 3.5 80%

Recent Form & Match History

Jelgava/Jauniesi

(Home)
05 Jun
Jelgava/Jauniesi
3 : 4
Brali

Brali

(Away)
08 Jun
Mersrags
2 : 1
Brali
18 Jun
Brali
1 : 6
FK Madona Kvarcs
05 Jun
Jelgava/Jauniesi
3 : 4
Brali
18 Jul
FK 1625 Liepaja
4 : 1
Brali
17 Oct
Brali
3 : 4
FK 1625 Liepaja

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Skonto -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zelis Gulbene -
TBD -
FK Dobele 0
Marupe 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
FK Metta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Jurmala -
FK Daugava Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ozolnieki 4
Mersrags 0
Sigulda 0
FK Auda Riga 1
FK Aluksne 2
Bebri 0
Austrumi 1
Upesciems 2
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
Valmiera -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ogre -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gulbene -
Jelgava -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Olimps Riga -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Avantis 3
FK Ergli 0
FK Olaine 0
Iecava 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ventspils -
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grobina 1
Kekava 0
Aizkraukle 0
FK Smiltene 3
Brali 4
Jelgava/Jauniesi 3
Plavinas 3
FK Madona Kvarcs 1
FK 1625 Liepaja -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rezekne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
1/64-finals
Skonto -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zelis Gulbene 3
Marupe 1
TBD -
RFS -
FK Metta -
TBD -
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Jurmala -
FK Daugava Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ozolnieki 2
FK Auda Riga 6
FK Aluksne 0
Upesciems 3
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
Valmiera -
TBD -
TBD -
Ogre -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gulbene -
Jelgava -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Olimps Riga -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
Avantis 0
Iecava 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ventspils -
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grobina -
FK Smiltene -
Brali 1
FK Madona Kvarcs 6
FK 1625 Liepaja -
TBD -
TBD -
Rezekne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
1/32-finals
Skonto -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zelis Gulbene 0
RFS 12
FK Metta 3
BFC Daugavpils 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Jurmala -
FK Daugava Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ozolnieki 4
Upesciems 1
FK Auda Riga 0
Tukums 2000 2
Valmiera 4
Ogre 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gulbene -
Jelgava -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Olimps Riga -
Spartaks Jurmala 5
Iecava 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ventspils -
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grobina 0
FK Madona Kvarcs 1
FK 1625 Liepaja 2
Rezekne 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
1/16-finals
Skonto -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
FK Metta -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Jurmala -
FK Daugava Riga -
TBD -
Ozolnieki 0
Tukums 2000 3
Valmiera -
TBD -
TBD -
Gulbene -
Jelgava -
TBD -
TBD -
Olimps Riga -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
Ventspils -
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Madona Kvarcs -
FK 1625 Liepaja -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
1/8-finals
Skonto 2
RFS 0
FK Metta 0
FC Jurmala 3
FK Daugava Riga 4
Tukums 2000 0
Valmiera 1
Gulbene 3
Jelgava 3
Olimps Riga 1
Spartaks Jurmala 1
Ventspils 2
FC Daugava Daugavpils 11
FK Madona Kvarcs 0
FK 1625 Liepaja 1
FK Liepaja 3
Quarter-finals
Skonto 1
FC Jurmala 0
FK Daugava Riga 1
Gulbene 3
Jelgava 2
Ventspils 1
FC Daugava Daugavpils 0
FK Liepaja 1
Semi-finals
Skonto 1
Gulbene 0
Jelgava 1
FK Liepaja 4
Final
Skonto 2
FK Liepaja 1