Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jena II vs Borea Dresden

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Borea Dresden in this Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Borea Dresden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Jena II
20%
Draws
50%
Borea Dresden
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Borea Dresden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jena II lately — more wins on the board than Borea Dresden.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Jena II Clean Sheet 20%
Borea Dresden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jena II Borea Dresden
Matches Played 35 5
Wins 15 1
Draws 10 2
Losses 10 2
Goals Scored 1.77 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.51 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2012 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Jena II vs Borea Dresden
0:0
Oct 16, 2011 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Borea Dresden vs Jena II
0:0
Apr 3, 2011 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Jena II vs Borea Dresden
0:1
Oct 3, 2010 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Borea Dresden vs Jena II
1:1
May 29, 2010 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Jena II vs Borea Dresden
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jena II 31 / 100
Borea Dresden 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jena II Borea Dresden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jena II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Borea Dresden conceded in 80% of 5 recent games.

Jena II's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Jena II remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jena II VS Borea Dresden
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 4
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Jena II

(Home)
18 Jun
Jena II
2 : 6
Krieschow
11 Jun
Jena II
4 : 2
Bautzen
04 Jun
Jena II
0 : 1
Einheit Wernigerode
28 May
Inter Leipzig
4 : 0
Jena II
21 May
Grimma
3 : 0
Jena II
Page 1 of 7

Borea Dresden

(Away)
06 Jul
Bischofswerdaer
4 : 0
Borea Dresden
27 Aug
Borea Dresden
1 : 1
FC Gera 03
21 Aug
Aue II
4 : 0
Borea Dresden
29 Apr
Borea Dresden
1 : 1
Sachsen Leipzig
31 Oct
Sachsen Leipzig
0 : 1
Borea Dresden

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Halberstadt 30 22 6 2 69:22 72
2 Auerbach 30 17 6 7 63:39 57
3 Bautzen 30 15 7 8 44:30 52
4 Erfurt II 30 12 12 6 48:39 48
5 Dresden II 30 12 5 13 48:45 41
6 Luckenwalde 30 11 8 11 53:55 41
7 Aue II 30 12 5 13 43:47 41
8 Lokomotive Leipzig 30 9 12 9 42:43 39
9 Zwickau 30 10 7 13 39:39 37
10 Sachsen Leipzig 30 9 9 12 33:43 36
11 Chemnitzer II 30 8 10 12 45:50 34
12 Gotha 30 10 4 16 40:55 34
13 Jena II 30 8 9 13 42:47 33
14 Halle 30 8 9 13 34:47 33
15 Borea Dresden 30 7 11 12 33:47 32
16 Magdeburg II 30 6 8 16 37:65 26
Relegation - Oberliga NOFV - Relegation 2010/2011 (Main)