Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jena II vs Dresden II

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jena II in this Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jena II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Jena II
35%
Draws
45%
Dresden II
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dresden II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dresden II lately — more wins on the board than Jena II.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Dresden II taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Jena II Clean Sheet 13%
Dresden II Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jena II Dresden II
Matches Played 25 29
Wins 10 15
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.76 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2015 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Jena II vs Dresden II
2:1
Sep 14, 2014 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Dresden II vs Jena II
1:1
Mar 9, 2014 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Jena II vs Dresden II
3:0
Aug 16, 2013 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Dresden II vs Jena II
0:1
May 25, 2013 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Jena II vs Dresden II
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jena II 19 / 100
Dresden II 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jena II Dresden II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dresden II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jena II found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (25 games).

Dresden II has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Jena II stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jena II VS Dresden II
0.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jena II

(Home)
18 Jun
Jena II
2 : 6
Krieschow
11 Jun
Jena II
4 : 2
Bautzen
04 Jun
Jena II
0 : 1
Einheit Wernigerode
28 May
Inter Leipzig
4 : 0
Jena II
21 May
Grimma
3 : 0
Jena II
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Dresden II

(Away)
26 Sept
Glauchau
0 : 0
Dresden II
20 Sept
Dresden II
1 : 1
Einheit Wernigerode
13 Sept
Auerbach
1 : 1
Dresden II
30 Aug
Dresden II
5 : 1
Einheit Rudolstadt
16 Aug
Eilenburg
1 : 1
Dresden II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RB Leipzig II 30 23 3 4 82:21 72
2 Oberlausitz Neugersdorf 30 20 6 4 71:20 66
3 Markranstadt 30 17 7 6 67:33 58
4 Lokomotive Leipzig 30 16 8 6 38:21 56
5 Erfurt II 30 15 5 10 46:35 50
6 Cottbus II 30 13 5 12 52:59 44
7 Halle 30 13 4 13 43:41 43
8 Aue II 30 10 10 10 37:43 40
9 Jena II 30 10 8 12 31:36 38
10 Dresden II 30 12 2 16 45:53 38
11 Chemnitzer II 30 9 9 12 42:43 36
12 Eisenach 30 10 5 15 39:71 35
13 Sandersdorf 30 8 6 16 37:52 30
14 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 5 8 17 28:60 23
15 Schott Jena 30 5 7 18 36:65 22
16 Bernburg 30 5 5 20 30:71 20
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Play Offs 2014/2015 (Promotion - Play Offs)