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Jena II vs Erfurt II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2015/2016
Jena II Logo

Jena II

6 - 1
FT
Erfurt II Logo

Erfurt II

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Jena II in this Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jena II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Jena II
15%
Draws
57%
Erfurt II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Erfurt II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Jena II have won more games recently than Erfurt II.
  • Model gives Jena II a 28% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Jena II Clean Sheet 20%
Erfurt II Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jena II Erfurt II
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.92 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.73 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2016 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Jena II vs Erfurt II
6:1
Sep 20, 2015 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Erfurt II vs Jena II
1:2
Mar 22, 2015 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Erfurt II vs Jena II
0:0
Aug 27, 2014 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Jena II vs Erfurt II
2:1
Jun 8, 2014 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Jena II vs Erfurt II
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jena II 58 / 100
Erfurt II 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jena II Erfurt II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jena II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jena II scored in 77% of their last 26 games.

Erfurt II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Erfurt II registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jena II VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jena II

(Home)
18 Jun
Jena II
2 : 6
Krieschow
11 Jun
Jena II
4 : 2
Bautzen
04 Jun
Jena II
0 : 1
Einheit Wernigerode
28 May
Inter Leipzig
4 : 0
Jena II
21 May
Grimma
3 : 0
Jena II
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Erfurt II

(Away)
12 Jun
Bischofswerdaer
6 : 1
Erfurt II
05 Jun
Erfurt II
1 : 6
Bernburg
20 May
Schott Jena
3 : 2
Erfurt II
15 May
Erfurt II
2 : 0
Eisenach
08 May
Einheit Rudolstadt
0 : 2
Erfurt II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lokomotive Leipzig 30 22 8 0 78:14 74
2 Inter Leipzig 30 19 6 5 71:29 63
3 Bischofswerdaer 30 16 9 5 60:31 57
4 Jena II 30 14 7 9 72:42 49
5 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 12 9 9 46:34 45
6 Halle 30 12 7 11 60:50 43
7 Sandersdorf 30 12 7 11 48:48 43
8 Markranstadt 30 11 8 11 49:48 41
9 Barleben 30 11 7 12 52:47 40
10 Cottbus II 30 12 4 14 56:66 40
11 Bernburg 30 10 8 12 43:45 38
12 Plauen 30 10 7 13 47:66 37
13 Erfurt II 30 9 7 14 49:65 34
14 Schott Jena 30 10 4 16 43:68 34
15 Wismut Gera 30 5 6 19 30:66 21
16 Eisenach 30 2 2 26 17:102 8
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2016/2017 (Main)