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Jena II vs VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2019/2020
Sun, May 17, 2020
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jena II host VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal in the Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2019/2020. VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal go into this one as the clear favorite. Jena II have averaged 1.85 scored and 1.77 conceded recently, against VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal's 1.4 scored and 2.33 conceded. Past meetings favor Jena II slightly — 2-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 17, 2020, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Jena II
20%
Draws
58%
VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Jena II have won more games recently than VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Jena II Clean Sheet 20%
VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jena II VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal
Matches Played 26 15
Wins 10 2
Draws 7 4
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.85 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.77 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2020 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Jena II vs VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal
0:0
Nov 23, 2019 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal vs Jena II
1:1
Apr 6, 2019 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal vs Jena II
0:3
Sep 29, 2018 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Jena II vs VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jena II 36 / 100
VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jena II VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 15 matches.

Jena II's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Jena II stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jena II VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jena II

(Home)
18 Jun
Jena II
2 : 6
Krieschow
11 Jun
Jena II
4 : 2
Bautzen
04 Jun
Jena II
0 : 1
Einheit Wernigerode
28 May
Inter Leipzig
4 : 0
Jena II
21 May
Grimma
3 : 0
Jena II
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VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal

(Away)
14 Dec
VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal
4 : 0
Krieschow
06 Dec
Eilenburg
2 : 2
VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal
01 Dec
VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal
2 : 1
Einheit Rudolstadt
23 Nov
VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal
1 : 1
Jena II
09 Nov
VfL Hohenstein-Ernstthal
2 : 3
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
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