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Jena vs BFC Dynamo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jena host BFC Dynamo in the Regionalliga Nordost. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Jena at 2.46 goals for, 1.04 against; BFC Dynamo at 1.69 for, 1.1 against. Past meetings favor Jena slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.56, favoring Jena. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Jena
15%
Draws
50%
BFC Dynamo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: BFC Dynamo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Jena carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 50% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Jena Clean Sheet 15%
BFC Dynamo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jena BFC Dynamo
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 18 13
Draws 2 9
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 2.46 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Jena vs BFC Dynamo
2:1
Nov 7, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
BFC Dynamo vs Jena
2:3
Dec 6, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Jena vs BFC Dynamo
1:1
Jul 26, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
BFC Dynamo vs Jena
2:3
Feb 17, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Jena vs BFC Dynamo
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jena 35 / 100
BFC Dynamo 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jena BFC Dynamo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BFC Dynamo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jena scored in 96% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

BFC Dynamo let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Jena went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jena VS BFC Dynamo
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jena

(Home)
25 Sept
SV Tasmania Berlin
1 : 5
Jena
20 Sept
Jena
1 : 2
Lokomotive Leipzig
15 Sept
Hallescher
2 : 0
Jena
12 Sept
Jena
3 : 0
Hertha Berlin II
02 Sept
Jena
1 : 0
Altglienicke
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BFC Dynamo

(Away)
25 Sept
BFC Dynamo
1 : 0
Greifswalder FC
20 Sept
BFC Dynamo
4 : 1
Magdeburg II
16 Sept
Lokomotive Leipzig
2 : 2
BFC Dynamo
10 Sept
BFC Dynamo
3 : 1
SV Tasmania Berlin
30 Aug
Luckenwalde
0 : 2
BFC Dynamo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Erfurt 11 8 3 0 36:11 27
2 Chemnitzer 11 8 2 1 25:5 26
3 Hallescher 11 6 4 1 18:9 22
4 BFC Dynamo 11 6 3 2 20:12 21
5 Altglienicke 11 6 3 2 20:14 21
6 Aue 11 6 3 2 20:16 21
7 Jena 11 6 1 4 19:10 19
8 Greifswalder FC 11 5 4 2 23:16 19
9 Lokomotive Leipzig 11 4 3 4 23:23 15
10 Zwickau 11 4 3 4 13:17 15
11 Magdeburg II 11 4 1 6 20:23 13
12 Babelsberg 11 3 3 5 14:17 12
13 BFC Preussen 11 2 4 5 14:17 10
14 Chemie Leipzig 11 2 3 6 12:17 9
15 Hertha Berlin II 11 2 3 6 9:21 9
16 Rsv Eintracht 11 1 3 7 13:29 6
17 SV Tasmania Berlin 11 1 2 8 13:36 5
18 Luckenwalde 11 1 0 10 9:28 3
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)