Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jena vs Meuselwitz

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Hessel M.
(Penalty)
67' Event
Hansch F.
(Penalty)
89' Event
Fischer L.

AI Match Summary

Meuselwitz in this Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Meuselwitz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Jena
30%
Draws
23%
Meuselwitz
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Very High Confidence
  • Jena have won more games recently than Meuselwitz.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Jena taking it.
  • Regular Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Jena Clean Sheet 20%
Meuselwitz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jena Meuselwitz
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 17 9
Draws 3 6
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 4 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.86

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Jena vs Meuselwitz
1:2
Sep 21, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Meuselwitz vs Jena
0:3
May 10, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Jena vs Meuselwitz
0:1
Nov 23, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Meuselwitz vs Jena
0:3
Jul 16, 2024 Club Friendly
Jena vs Meuselwitz
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jena Compare

Avg xG / game 3.08
Avg xA / game 2

Meuselwitz Compare

Top Goalscorer Fischer L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jena 85 / 100
Meuselwitz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jena Meuselwitz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jena's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Meuselwitz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Jena stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jena VS Meuselwitz
4 Goals Scored 0.86
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.86
100% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Jena

(Home)
04 Aug
Jena
4 : 0
Rsv Eintracht
31 Jul
Babelsberg
0 : 1
Jena
26 Jul
Jena
1 : 2
Zwickau
17 Jul
Bayreuth
1 : 1
Jena
12 Jul
Jena
2 : 0
Union Berlin
Page 1 of 6

Meuselwitz

(Away)
25 Jul
Meuselwitz
3 : 3
Fulda-Lehnerz
11 Jul
Meuselwitz
1 : 0
BFC Preussen
03 Jul
Meuselwitz
0 : 3
Aue
16 May
Meuselwitz
1 : 1
Luckenwalde
09 May
BFC Preussen
2 : 1
Meuselwitz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lokomotive Leipzig 34 23 3 8 65:30 72
2 Jena 34 22 6 6 65:35 72
3 Zwickau 34 19 7 8 52:44 64
4 Hallescher 34 19 6 9 63:36 63
5 Erfurt 34 17 10 7 68:47 61
6 Altglienicke 34 14 11 9 50:40 53
7 Chemnitzer 34 14 9 11 56:52 51
8 BFC Preussen 34 14 8 12 50:55 50
9 Magdeburg II 34 15 4 15 61:55 49
10 Luckenwalde 34 11 10 13 36:45 43
11 Babelsberg 34 11 8 15 67:65 41
12 BFC Dynamo 34 10 10 14 45:50 40
13 Chemie Leipzig 34 12 4 18 43:49 40
14 Hertha Berlin II 34 11 7 16 46:60 40
15 Greifswalder FC 34 9 11 14 40:45 38
16 Meuselwitz 34 8 9 17 44:61 33
17 Eilenburg 34 4 11 19 35:68 23
18 Hertha Zehlendorf 34 2 8 24 30:79 14
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)