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Jendouba Sport vs Ariana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Kouraichi A.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 game between Jendouba Sport and Ariana finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jendouba Sport.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Jendouba Sport
30%
Draws
18%
Ariana
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jendouba Sport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Jendouba Sport carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Jendouba Sport's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Jendouba Sport Clean Sheet 20%
Ariana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jendouba Sport Ariana
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 7
Draws 8 9
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.45 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Ligue 2
Jendouba Sport vs Ariana
1:0
Apr 4, 2026 Ligue 2
Jendouba Sport vs Ariana
2:2
Nov 8, 2025 Ligue 2
Ariana vs Jendouba Sport
1:1
Apr 27, 2025 Ligue 2
Ariana vs Jendouba Sport
0:1
Dec 14, 2024 Ligue 2
Jendouba Sport vs Ariana
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jendouba Sport Compare

Top Goalscorer Kouraichi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Ariana Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jendouba Sport 67 / 100
Ariana 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jendouba Sport Ariana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jendouba Sport Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jendouba Sport scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Ariana has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Jendouba Sport remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jendouba Sport VS Ariana
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jendouba Sport

(Home)
04 Oct
Jendouba Sport
1 : 0
Ariana
27 Sept
JS Kairouan
1 : 0
Jendouba Sport
12 May
Kalaa
1 : 3
Jendouba Sport
02 May
Jendouba Sport
1 : 0
Moknine
28 Apr
Gafsa
1 : 0
Jendouba Sport
Page 1 of 6

Ariana

(Away)
04 Oct
Jendouba Sport
1 : 0
Ariana
27 Sept
Ariana
1 : 1
Stade Gabesien
16 Aug
Club Africain
2 : 0
Ariana
12 May
Moknine
1 : 1
Ariana
02 May
Ariana
1 : 1
Gafsa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EM Mahdia 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
2 Soliman 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
3 Megrine 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
4 Msaken 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 Sfax Railways 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
6 BS Bouhajla 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
7 Sporting Ben Arous 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
8 US Tataouine 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
9 ES Beni-Khalled 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
10 Stade Soussien 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
11 AS Gabes 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
12 Chebba 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
13 AS Agareb 2 0 1 1 2:5 1
14 Kerkennah 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Redeyef 2 2 0 0 6:0 6
2 Kasserine 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
3 JS Kairouan 2 2 0 0 2:0 6
4 Ksour Essef 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
5 Korba 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
6 Kalaa 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
7 Jendouba Sport 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
8 Bouchamma 2 1 0 1 1:3 3
9 Stade Gabesien 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
10 Ariana 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
11 Olympique Kef 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
12 Moknine 2 0 1 1 0:3 1
13 CO Medenine 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
14 Gafsa 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)