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Jeonbuk 2 vs Changwon

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
No Geon-Woo
31' Event
Ko B. B.
42' Event
Jin Tae-Ho

AI Match Summary

Changwon in this K3 League matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Changwon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Jeonbuk 2
20%
Draws
40%
Changwon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Changwon lately — more wins on the board than Jeonbuk 2.
  • Model gives Jeonbuk 2 a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular K3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Changwon here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Jeonbuk 2 Clean Sheet 11%
Changwon Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jeonbuk 2 Changwon
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 2 11
Draws 7 10
Losses 21 8
Goals Scored 1 1.31
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 K3 League
Changwon vs Jeonbuk 2
1:1
Apr 5, 2026 K3 League
Jeonbuk 2 vs Changwon
2:3
Aug 1, 2025 K3 League
Changwon vs Jeonbuk 2
3:1
Apr 19, 2025 K3 League
Jeonbuk 2 vs Changwon
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jeonbuk 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jin Tae-Ho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kim Du-hyun
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Changwon Compare

Top Goalscorer Ko B. B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader No Geon-Woo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jeonbuk 2 35 / 100
Changwon 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jeonbuk 2 Changwon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Jeonbuk 2 found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Changwon conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Changwon's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Jeonbuk 2 VS Changwon
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jeonbuk 2

(Home)
13 Sept
Jeonbuk 2
1 : 3
Mokpo
29 Aug
Gangneung
2 : 1
Jeonbuk 2
23 Aug
Jeonbuk 2
0 : 1
Ulsan Citizen
26 Jul
Changwon
1 : 1
Jeonbuk 2
18 Jul
Dangjin Citizen
2 : 0
Jeonbuk 2
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Changwon

(Away)
13 Sept
Siheung Citizen
3 : 1
Changwon
05 Sept
Changwon
0 : 1
Daejeon Korail
22 Aug
Busan Kyotong
4 : 3
Changwon
26 Jul
Changwon
1 : 1
Jeonbuk 2
15 Jul
Changwon
1 : 5
Gimhae
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siheung Citizen 22 16 4 2 35:19 52
2 Pocheon 22 13 6 3 38:19 45
3 Daejeon Korail 22 11 5 6 31:17 38
4 Busan Kyotong 22 10 7 5 39:26 37
5 Dangjin Citizen 22 9 4 9 44:36 31
6 Chuncheon 22 8 5 9 39:35 29
7 Gyeongju KHNP 21 7 8 6 30:28 29
8 Ulsan Citizen 22 8 4 10 23:24 28
9 Gangneung 22 7 6 9 20:30 27
10 Changwon 21 6 8 7 23:25 26
11 Yeoju Citizen 22 6 7 9 24:28 25
12 Mokpo 22 4 9 9 19:35 21
13 Yangpyeong 22 3 8 11 27:43 17
14 Jeonbuk 2 22 1 7 14 22:49 10
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)