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Jeonbuk 2 vs Changwon

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
No Geon-Woo
31' Event
Ko B. B.
42' Event
Jin Tae-Ho

AI Match Summary

Changwon in this K3 League matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Changwon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Jeonbuk 2
17%
Draws
70%
Changwon
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Changwon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Changwon lately — more wins on the board than Jeonbuk 2.
  • Model gives Changwon a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular K3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Changwon here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Jeonbuk 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Changwon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jeonbuk 2 Changwon
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 4 14
Draws 6 10
Losses 19 6
Goals Scored 1.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 3 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 K3 League
Jeonbuk 2 vs Changwon
2:3
Aug 1, 2025 K3 League
Changwon vs Jeonbuk 2
3:1
Apr 19, 2025 K3 League
Jeonbuk 2 vs Changwon
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jeonbuk 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jin Tae-Ho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kim Du-hyun
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Changwon Compare

Top Goalscorer Ko B. B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader No Geon-Woo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jeonbuk 2 14 / 100
Changwon 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jeonbuk 2 Changwon

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Jeonbuk 2 found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Changwon conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Jeonbuk 2 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jeonbuk 2 VS Changwon
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
3 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Siheung Citizen17124124:1440
2Pocheon17105230:1535
3Daejeon Korail1794427:1231
4Busan Kyotong1786326:1330
5Changwon1767418:1625
6Dangjin Citizen1764727:2622
7Yeoju Citizen1756620:2221
8Gyeongju KHNP1747623:2419
9Ulsan Citizen1754817:1919
10Gangneung1754815:2619
11Chuncheon1745830:2917
12Yangpyeong1737720:2916
13Mokpo1729614:2515
14Jeonbuk 217161019:409