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Jeonbuk vs Jeju SK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Jeonju World Cup Stadium, Jeonju
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Sub
Kim Shin-Jin In: Matheus Aias
Out: Kim Shin-Jin
23' Event
Emerson Negueba
(Penalty)
58' Event
Lee Seung-Woo
Assist: Lee Dong-Jun

AI Match Summary

Jeju SK in this K League 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jeju SK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Jeonbuk
35%
Draws
40%
Jeju SK
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Jeju SK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jeju SK lately — more wins on the board than Jeonbuk.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular K League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Jeonbuk Clean Sheet 22%
Jeju SK Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jeonbuk Jeju SK
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 13
Draws 9 9
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.33 1.33
Goals Conceded 1 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 K League 1
Jeonbuk vs Jeju SK
1:3
May 2, 2026 K League 1
Jeju SK vs Jeonbuk
0:2
Oct 3, 2025 K League 1
Jeju SK vs Jeonbuk
1:1
May 23, 2025 K League 1
Jeju SK vs Jeonbuk
0:0
Apr 13, 2025 K League 1
Jeonbuk vs Jeju SK
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jeonbuk Compare

Top Goalscorer Lee Seung-Woo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Jeju SK Compare

Top Goalscorer Emerson Negueba
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jeonbuk 32 / 100
Jeju SK 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jeonbuk Jeju SK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jeju SK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jeonbuk's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Jeju SK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Jeonbuk stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jeonbuk VS Jeju SK
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jeonbuk

(Home)
09 Oct
Daejeon
2 : 1
Jeonbuk
20 Sept
Jeonbuk
2 : 2
Gwangju FC
16 Sept
Jeonbuk
2 : 1
Kashiwa Reysol
12 Sept
Jeonbuk
1 : 2
Seoul
09 Sept
Gangwon
1 : 1
Jeonbuk
Page 1 of 6

Jeju SK

(Away)
10 Oct
Seoul
2 : 1
Jeju SK
20 Sept
Gangwon
0 : 1
Jeju SK
12 Sept
Bucheon FC 1995
2 : 2
Jeju SK
09 Sept
Gwangju FC
0 : 1
Jeju SK
05 Sept
Jeju SK
0 : 0
Ulsan Hyundai
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Seoul 31 20 5 6 58:26 65
2 Ulsan Hyundai 30 14 5 11 45:40 47
3 Gangwon 31 11 13 7 38:28 46
4 Jeju SK 31 12 10 9 36:31 46
5 Jeonbuk 31 11 11 9 39:30 44
6 Daejeon 31 11 10 10 48:38 43
7 Incheon 31 11 9 11 39:33 42
8 Anyang 31 10 11 10 39:47 41
9 Pohang 31 11 7 13 28:37 40
10 Gimcheon Sangmu 31 5 18 8 30:37 33
11 Bucheon FC 1995 31 7 11 13 31:42 32
12 Gwangju FC 30 1 12 17 21:63 15
Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group)
Relegation - K League 1 (Relegation Group)