Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jequie vs Alagoinhas

Brazil Brazil

Baiano Waldomiro Borges Stadium, Jequié
Jequie Logo

Jequie

4 - 1
FT
Alagoinhas Logo

Alagoinhas

Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Diego Bolt
26'
Sergio Baiano
29' Event
Tiago Recife
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Baiano game between Jequie and Alagoinhas finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jequie.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Jequie
35%
Draws
13%
Alagoinhas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Jequie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jequie come out ahead of Alagoinhas on wins alone.
  • Model gives Jequie a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Jequie Clean Sheet 68%
Alagoinhas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jequie Alagoinhas
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 3
Draws 9 8
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.2 0.55
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2026 Baiano
Jequie vs Alagoinhas
4:1
Jan 25, 2025 Baiano
Alagoinhas vs Jequie
0:0
Jan 28, 2024 Baiano
Jequie vs Alagoinhas
2:0
Jan 23, 2019 Baiano
Alagoinhas vs Jequie
4:4
Jun 17, 2017 Baiano 2
Alagoinhas vs Jequie
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jequie Compare

Top Goalscorer Diego Bolt
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tiago Recife
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Alagoinhas Compare

Top Goalscorer Miller
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jequie 95 / 100
Alagoinhas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jequie Alagoinhas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jequie Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Jequie scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Alagoinhas let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Jequie went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jequie VS Alagoinhas
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jequie

(Home)
22 Feb
Jequie
1 : 1
Barcelona FC
12 Feb
Galicia
2 : 1
Jequie
07 Feb
Jequie
2 : 2
Vitoria
04 Feb
Jacuipense
0 : 2
Jequie
29 Jan
Bahia de Feira
1 : 2
Jequie
Page 1 of 6

Alagoinhas

(Away)
14 Jun
Alagoinhas
1 : 7
CSA
31 May
Juazeirense
0 : 0
Alagoinhas
24 May
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
0 : 0
Alagoinhas
17 May
Alagoinhas
0 : 1
Jacuipense
10 May
ASA
3 : 0
Alagoinhas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahia 9 7 2 0 26:9 23
2 Vitoria 9 4 4 1 13:4 16
3 Jacuipense 9 3 4 2 11:10 13
4 Juazeirense 9 3 4 2 7:9 13
5 Jequie 9 3 3 3 15:13 12
6 Porto-BA 9 2 5 2 10:12 11
7 Barcelona FC 9 2 4 3 7:15 10
8 Galicia 9 3 0 6 7:14 9
9 Bahia de Feira 9 2 3 4 11:12 9
10 Alagoinhas 9 0 3 6 5:14 3
Promotion - Baiano (Play Offs)
Relegation - Baiano 2 2027 (Main)