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Stadium Background

Jequie vs Porto-BA

Brazil Brazil

Baiano Waldomiro Borges Stadium, Jequié
Jequie Logo

Jequie

1 - 1
FT
Porto-BA Logo

Porto-BA

Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Caique Baiano
58' Event
Diki
63'
Sub
Peu In: Santos D'Ajuda C.
Out: Peu
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Baiano game between Jequie and Porto-BA finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Jequie
30%
Draws
8%
Porto-BA
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jequie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Porto-BA come out ahead of Jequie on wins alone.
  • Model gives Jequie a 62% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Baiano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Jequie Clean Sheet 68%
Porto-BA Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jequie Porto-BA
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 10 8
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.23 1
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2026 Baiano
Jequie vs Porto-BA
1:1
Feb 2, 2025 Baiano
Porto-BA vs Jequie
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jequie Compare

Top Goalscorer Tiago Recife
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Porto-BA Compare

Top Goalscorer Diki
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jequie 95 / 100
Porto-BA 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jequie Porto-BA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jequie Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Porto-BA's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Jequie scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Jequie went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jequie VS Porto-BA
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jequie

(Home)
22 Feb
Jequie
1 : 1
Barcelona FC
12 Feb
Galicia
2 : 1
Jequie
07 Feb
Jequie
2 : 2
Vitoria
04 Feb
Jacuipense
0 : 2
Jequie
29 Jan
Bahia de Feira
1 : 2
Jequie
Page 1 of 7

Porto-BA

(Away)
14 Jun
Rio Branco ES
4 : 0
Porto-BA
30 May
Porto-BA
1 : 3
Tombense
25 May
Democrata GV
3 : 1
Porto-BA
16 May
Porto-BA
0 : 0
Vitoria ES
09 May
Porto-BA
1 : 2
Real Noroeste
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahia 9 7 2 0 26:9 23
2 Vitoria 9 4 4 1 13:4 16
3 Jacuipense 9 3 4 2 11:10 13
4 Juazeirense 9 3 4 2 7:9 13
5 Jequie 9 3 3 3 15:13 12
6 Porto-BA 9 2 5 2 10:12 11
7 Barcelona FC 9 2 4 3 7:15 10
8 Galicia 9 3 0 6 7:14 9
9 Bahia de Feira 9 2 3 4 11:12 9
10 Alagoinhas 9 0 3 6 5:14 3
Promotion - Baiano (Play Offs)
Relegation - Baiano 2 2027 (Main)