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Jerez CF vs CF Trujillo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Roldan J.
40' Event
Chavez C.
(Penalty)
53' Event
Chavez C.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 game between Jerez CF and CF Trujillo finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jerez CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Jerez CF
15%
Draws
26%
CF Trujillo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jerez CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • CF Trujillo haven't matched Jerez CF's recent run of results.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Jerez CF taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Jerez CF Clean Sheet 68%
CF Trujillo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jerez CF CF Trujillo
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 13 8
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.71 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jerez CF vs CF Trujillo
4:0
Oct 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CF Trujillo vs Jerez CF
2:2
Mar 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jerez CF vs CF Trujillo
2:1
Oct 29, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CF Trujillo vs Jerez CF
2:1
Mar 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jerez CF vs CF Trujillo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jerez CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Roldan J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chavez C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

CF Trujillo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jerez CF 68 / 100
CF Trujillo 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jerez CF CF Trujillo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jerez CF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jerez CF found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

CF Trujillo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Jerez CF remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jerez CF VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jerez CF

(Home)
27 Sept
CD Azuaga
2 : 0
Jerez CF
20 Sept
Jerez CF
1 : 2
Castuera
13 Sept
Cabeza del Buey
0 : 1
Jerez CF
06 Sept
Jerez CF
2 : 2
Puebla de la Calzada
10 May
Jerez CF
5 : 1
Montehermoso
Page 1 of 7

CF Trujillo

(Away)
23 Aug
CD Diocesano
2 : 1
CF Trujillo
11 May
CF Trujillo
2 : 4
CD Azuaga
04 May
Castuera
1 : 2
CF Trujillo
30 Apr
Puebla de la Calzada
2 : 0
CF Trujillo
27 Apr
CF Trujillo
0 : 1
CD Badajoz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Extremadura 34 23 6 5 73:22 75
2 CD Azuaga 34 20 11 3 65:28 71
3 Jaraiz 34 21 6 7 65:40 69
4 AD Llerenense 34 21 5 8 58:28 68
5 CD Badajoz 34 17 12 5 54:20 63
6 CD Diocesano 34 17 7 10 58:38 58
7 Santa Amalia 34 16 6 12 31:31 54
8 Jerez CF 34 14 9 11 50:48 51
9 SP Villafranca 34 14 5 15 55:55 47
10 Moralo 34 13 7 14 52:50 46
11 Montijo 34 11 12 11 35:34 45
12 Pueblonuevo 34 9 9 16 42:71 36
13 CD Calamonte 34 8 9 17 36:48 33
14 Puebla de la Calzada 34 7 11 16 35:56 32
15 Castuera 34 7 8 19 46:64 29
16 CF Trujillo 34 6 10 18 32:63 28
17 Arroyo 34 5 7 22 32:70 22
18 Olivenza FC 34 3 8 23 26:79 17
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 (Play Offs)