Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jerez CF vs Chinato

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 14 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 14 2011/2012 game between Jerez CF and Chinato finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jerez CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Jerez CF
20%
Draws
29%
Chinato
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jerez CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Jerez CF carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Jerez CF a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Jerez CF Clean Sheet 17%
Chinato Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jerez CF Chinato
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 12 3
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 1.72 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jerez CF vs Chinato
2:1
Aug 28, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Chinato vs Jerez CF
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jerez CF 84 / 100
Chinato 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jerez CF Chinato

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jerez CF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jerez CF scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Chinato has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Jerez CF stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jerez CF VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jerez CF

(Home)
27 Sept
CD Azuaga
2 : 0
Jerez CF
20 Sept
Jerez CF
1 : 2
Castuera
13 Sept
Cabeza del Buey
0 : 1
Jerez CF
06 Sept
Jerez CF
2 : 2
Puebla de la Calzada
10 May
Jerez CF
5 : 1
Montehermoso
Page 1 of 6

Chinato

(Away)
20 Aug
Jaraiz
4 : 0
Chinato
30 May
AD Llerenense
5 : 2
Chinato
23 May
Chinato
4 : 1
Fuente de Cantos
16 May
Olivenza FC
1 : 0
Chinato
09 May
Chinato
0 : 0
RCP Valverdeno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arroyo 38 30 5 3 100:22 95
2 Diter Zafra 38 25 6 7 63:38 81
3 Extremadura UD 38 23 9 6 75:23 78
4 Don Benito 38 23 9 6 63:29 78
5 Jerez CF 38 20 9 9 56:34 69
6 Miajadas 38 15 11 12 52:52 56
7 UD Badajoz 38 14 11 13 53:49 53
8 Merida UD 38 14 11 13 42:43 53
9 CD Coria 38 13 11 14 49:55 50
10 UP Plasencia 38 12 9 17 41:62 45
11 Ciduad de Plasencia 38 10 15 13 45:46 45
12 Valdelacalzada 38 10 15 13 31:42 45
13 Santa Amalia 38 11 11 16 53:67 44
14 Hernan Cortes 38 10 12 16 28:39 42
15 Pueblonuevo 38 11 8 19 59:83 41
16 Moralo 38 10 10 18 32:43 40
17 Atletico San Jose Promesas 38 10 9 19 60:67 39
18 Sanvicenteno 38 9 9 20 45:77 36
19 SP Villafranca 38 6 11 21 45:74 29
20 Chinato 38 3 11 24 27:74 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)