Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jerez CF vs Gevora

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Monroy J.
52' Event
Rodriguez Sosa J.
Own Goal
55' Event
Bancalero Garrido J. F.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 game between Jerez CF and Gevora finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jerez CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Jerez CF
40%
Draws
29%
Gevora
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Jerez CF carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Jerez CF Clean Sheet 12%
Gevora Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jerez CF Gevora
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 6
Draws 14 9
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jerez CF vs Gevora
3:1
Oct 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Gevora vs Jerez CF
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jerez CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Bancalero Garrido J. F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chavez C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Gevora Compare

Top Goalscorer Monroy J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jerez CF 30 / 100
Gevora 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jerez CF Gevora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jerez CF's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Gevora has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Jerez CF went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jerez CF VS Gevora
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jerez CF

(Home)
10 May
Jerez CF
5 : 1
Montehermoso
03 May
SP Villafranca
2 : 1
Jerez CF
26 Apr
Villanovense
2 : 0
Jerez CF
19 Apr
Jerez CF
0 : 2
Don Benito
12 Apr
Cabeza del Buey
3 : 0
Jerez CF
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Gevora

(Away)
10 May
CD Badajoz
3 : 0
Gevora
03 May
Gevora
1 : 1
Pueblonuevo
26 Apr
Montijo
0 : 1
Gevora
19 Apr
Gevora
2 : 1
Moralo
12 Apr
CD Diocesano
2 : 1
Gevora
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Don Benito 34 21 8 5 70:22 71
2 CD Badajoz 34 23 5 6 64:27 71
3 Moralo 34 17 11 6 54:32 62
4 CD Azuaga 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
5 Jaraiz 34 16 11 7 53:33 59
6 Cabeza del Buey 34 15 12 7 45:29 57
7 SP Villafranca 34 16 7 11 45:40 55
8 Villanovense 34 15 8 11 45:36 53
9 Montijo 34 13 7 14 43:42 46
10 Jerez CF 34 8 17 9 56:51 41
11 AD Llerenense 34 11 8 15 35:44 41
12 Puebla de la Calzada 34 9 11 14 35:48 38
13 Santa Amalia 34 9 7 18 30:52 34
14 Gevora 34 8 9 17 32:53 33
15 Pueblonuevo 34 9 6 19 29:55 33
16 CD Diocesano 34 6 12 16 33:63 30
17 Montehermoso 34 5 8 21 24:66 23
18 CD Calamonte 34 3 13 18 25:47 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 (Play Offs)