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Jerez CF vs Merida UD - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013
Jerez CF Logo

Jerez CF

1 - 0
FT
Merida UD Logo

Merida UD

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Jerez CF in this Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jerez CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Jerez CF
30%
Draws
37%
Merida UD
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Merida UD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Merida UD lately — more wins on the board than Jerez CF.
  • Model gives Merida UD a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Jerez CF Clean Sheet 16%
Merida UD Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jerez CF Merida UD
Matches Played 42 33
Wins 18 23
Draws 14 7
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 1.81 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Merida UD vs Jerez CF
3:1
Dec 6, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jerez CF vs Merida UD
0:0
Apr 14, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jerez CF vs Merida UD
1:0
Nov 25, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Merida UD vs Jerez CF
0:0
Mar 25, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jerez CF vs Merida UD
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jerez CF 28 / 100
Merida UD 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jerez CF Merida UD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merida UD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jerez CF scored in 86% of their last 42 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Jerez CF has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Merida UD conceded in 48% of 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Jerez CF VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jerez CF

(Home)
27 Sept
CD Azuaga
2 : 0
Jerez CF
20 Sept
Jerez CF
1 : 2
Castuera
13 Sept
Cabeza del Buey
0 : 1
Jerez CF
06 Sept
Jerez CF
2 : 2
Puebla de la Calzada
10 May
Jerez CF
5 : 1
Montehermoso
Page 1 of 9

Merida UD

(Away)
22 Jun
Langreo
1 : 0
Merida UD
15 Jun
Merida UD
0 : 0
Langreo
08 Jun
Merida UD
1 : 1
AD San Juan
31 May
AD San Juan
0 : 1
Merida UD
25 May
Merida UD
2 : 0
Real Avila
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Extremadura UD 38 27 8 3 75:14 89
2 UD Badajoz 38 24 8 6 67:24 80
3 Don Benito 38 23 10 5 55:23 79
4 Diter Zafra 38 22 11 5 57:23 77
5 Jerez CF 38 16 11 11 51:37 59
6 Merida UD 38 15 11 12 47:38 56
7 Ciduad de Plasencia 38 15 10 13 50:38 55
8 UP Plasencia 38 15 10 13 55:47 55
9 Santa Amalia 38 15 8 15 52:54 53
10 CD Coria 38 14 9 15 47:48 51
11 Atletico San Jose Promesas 38 14 6 18 44:58 48
12 Pueblonuevo 38 11 10 17 41:60 43
13 Miajadas 38 12 7 19 40:56 43
14 RCP Valverdeno 38 11 9 18 40:56 42
15 Hernan Cortes 38 11 8 19 36:64 41
16 Cacereno II 38 10 10 18 48:57 40
17 Fuente de Cantos 38 10 9 19 42:68 39
18 Moralo 38 7 17 14 33:52 38
19 Emerita Augusta 38 8 7 23 44:77 31
20 Valdelacalzada 38 7 7 24 35:65 28
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)