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Jerez CF vs Miajadas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jerez CF in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jerez CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Jerez CF
20%
Draws
10%
Miajadas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jerez CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Jerez CF have won more games recently than Miajadas.
  • Jerez CF are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Jerez CF here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Jerez CF Clean Sheet 68%
Miajadas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jerez CF Miajadas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 11 5
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.73 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Miajadas vs Jerez CF
0:4
Dec 17, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jerez CF vs Miajadas
1:0
Mar 27, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jerez CF vs Miajadas
3:0
Nov 21, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Miajadas vs Jerez CF
3:2
Jan 17, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jerez CF vs Miajadas
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jerez CF 95 / 100
Miajadas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jerez CF Miajadas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jerez CF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jerez CF scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Miajadas conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Jerez CF has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jerez CF VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jerez CF

(Home)
27 Sept
CD Azuaga
2 : 0
Jerez CF
20 Sept
Jerez CF
1 : 2
Castuera
13 Sept
Cabeza del Buey
0 : 1
Jerez CF
06 Sept
Jerez CF
2 : 2
Puebla de la Calzada
10 May
Jerez CF
5 : 1
Montehermoso
Page 1 of 6

Miajadas

(Away)
23 Apr
CD Calamonte
4 : 0
Miajadas
16 Apr
Miajadas
0 : 4
Jerez CF
05 Apr
Fuente de Cantos
1 : 0
Miajadas
01 Apr
UP Plasencia
1 : 1
Miajadas
26 Mar
Miajadas
0 : 1
Moralo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Llerenense 30 18 10 2 52:22 64
2 CD Azuaga 30 19 5 6 58:29 62
3 Moralo 30 15 10 5 52:24 55
4 Olivenza FC 30 15 8 7 46:33 53
5 Jerez CF 30 13 10 7 39:25 49
6 Arroyo 30 13 7 10 30:31 46
7 CF Trujillo 30 12 8 10 28:28 44
8 SP Villafranca 30 12 7 11 34:33 43
9 CD Calamonte 30 12 6 12 38:33 42
10 Fuente de Cantos 30 9 12 9 23:28 39
11 Pueblonuevo 30 7 11 12 36:41 32
12 Montehermoso 30 8 7 15 31:53 31
13 Don Alvaro 30 7 6 17 27:54 27
14 Miajadas 30 7 5 18 23:41 26
15 UP Plasencia 30 6 6 18 31:43 24
16 La Estrella 30 5 6 19 30:60 21
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2022/2023 (Play Offs)