Sport Picks
Jerez CF vs Puebla de la Calzada
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 
Match Events
11'
11'
Diarrassouba B.
19'
19'
Coronado A. M.
90'
90'
Sancho J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Puebla de la Calzada
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Puebla de la Calzada haven't matched Jerez CF's recent run of results.
- Model gives Puebla de la Calzada a 37% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Jerez CF Clean Sheet 13%
Puebla de la Calzada Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jerez CF | Puebla de la Calzada |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 6 |
| Draws | 11 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.68 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jerez CF vs Puebla de la Calzada
2:2
Feb 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jerez CF vs Puebla de la Calzada
2:2
Sep 28, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Puebla de la Calzada vs Jerez CF
0:0
Feb 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jerez CF vs Puebla de la Calzada
1:0
Oct 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Puebla de la Calzada vs Jerez CF
3:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Jerez CF Compare
Top Goalscorer Diarrassouba B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sancho J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Puebla de la Calzada Compare
Top Goalscorer Coronado A. M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Inglesias A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jerez CF 22 / 100
Puebla de la Calzada 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jerez CF Puebla de la Calzada
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Puebla de la Calzada Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Jerez CF found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).
Puebla de la Calzada let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Jerez CF went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Jerez CF VS Puebla de la Calzada
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Jerez CF
(Home) 27 Sept
CD Azuaga
2 : 0 Jerez CF
20 Sept
Jerez CF
1 : 2 Castuera
13 Sept
Cabeza del Buey
0 : 1 Jerez CF
06 Sept
Jerez CF
2 : 2 Puebla de la Calzada
10 May
Jerez CF
5 : 1 Montehermoso
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Jerez CF
1 : 2 Castuera
06 Sept
Jerez CF
2 : 2 Puebla de la Calzada
10 May
Jerez CF
5 : 1 Montehermoso
19 Apr
Jerez CF
0 : 2 Don Benito
04 Apr
Jerez CF
2 : 2 Santa Amalia
Page 1 of 3
Puebla de la Calzada
(Away) 03 Oct
Pueblonuevo
0 : 0 Puebla de la Calzada
27 Sept
Puebla de la Calzada
1 : 2 Quintana
19 Sept
UP Plasencia
0 : 3 Puebla de la Calzada
13 Sept
Puebla de la Calzada
2 : 0 Castuera
06 Sept
Jerez CF
2 : 2 Puebla de la Calzada
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Pueblonuevo
0 : 0 Puebla de la Calzada
19 Sept
UP Plasencia
0 : 3 Puebla de la Calzada
06 Sept
Jerez CF
2 : 2 Puebla de la Calzada
10 May
Cabeza del Buey
1 : 0 Puebla de la Calzada
26 Apr
CD Badajoz
5 : 0 Puebla de la Calzada
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Don Benito | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 70:22 | 71 |
| 2 | CD Badajoz | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 64:27 | 71 |
| 3 | Moralo | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 54:32 | 62 |
| 4 | CD Azuaga | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 53:31 | 62 |
| 5 | Jaraiz | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 53:33 | 59 |
| 6 | Cabeza del Buey | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 45:29 | 57 |
| 7 | SP Villafranca | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 45:40 | 55 |
| 8 | Villanovense | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 45:36 | 53 |
| 9 | Montijo | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 43:42 | 46 |
| 10 | Jerez CF | 34 | 8 | 17 | 9 | 56:51 | 41 |
| 11 | AD Llerenense | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 35:44 | 41 |
| 12 | Puebla de la Calzada | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:48 | 38 |
| 13 | Santa Amalia | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 30:52 | 34 |
| 14 | Gevora | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 32:53 | 33 |
| 15 | Pueblonuevo | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 29:55 | 33 |
| 16 | CD Diocesano | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 33:63 | 30 |
| 17 | Montehermoso | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 24:66 | 23 |
| 18 | CD Calamonte | 34 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 25:47 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
