Sport Picks
Match Events
1'
1'
Juanjo
15'
15'
Ahouzan C.
64'
64'
Chavez C.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 game between Jerez CF and Santa Amalia finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jerez CF
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Santa Amalia carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Jerez CF a 41% chance of winning this.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Jerez CF Clean Sheet 68%
Santa Amalia Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jerez CF | Santa Amalia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 33 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 13 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.78 | 1.09 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.53 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jerez CF vs Santa Amalia
2:2
Nov 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Santa Amalia vs Jerez CF
2:2
Apr 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jerez CF vs Santa Amalia
0:1
Dec 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Santa Amalia vs Jerez CF
1:0
Jan 7, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jerez CF vs Santa Amalia
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Jerez CF Compare
Top Goalscorer Chavez C.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Santa Amalia Compare
Top Goalscorer Juanjo
1 Goals Assists Leader Ahouzan C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jerez CF 50 / 100
Santa Amalia 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jerez CF Santa Amalia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Jerez CF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Jerez CF's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Santa Amalia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 33 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Jerez CF remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Jerez CF VS Santa Amalia
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Jerez CF
(Home) 20 Sept
Jerez CF
1 : 2 Castuera
13 Sept
Cabeza del Buey
0 : 1 Jerez CF
06 Sept
Jerez CF
2 : 2 Puebla de la Calzada
10 May
Jerez CF
5 : 1 Montehermoso
03 May
SP Villafranca
2 : 1 Jerez CF
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Jerez CF
1 : 2 Castuera
06 Sept
Jerez CF
2 : 2 Puebla de la Calzada
10 May
Jerez CF
5 : 1 Montehermoso
19 Apr
Jerez CF
0 : 2 Don Benito
04 Apr
Jerez CF
2 : 2 Santa Amalia
Page 1 of 3
Santa Amalia
(Away) 20 Sept
Santa Amalia
1 : 1 Pueblonuevo
13 Sept
Santa Amalia
3 : 0 Quintana
06 Sept
UP Plasencia
0 : 0 Santa Amalia
10 May
Montijo
2 : 1 Santa Amalia
03 May
Santa Amalia
0 : 2 Moralo
Page 1 of 7
06 Sept
UP Plasencia
0 : 0 Santa Amalia
10 May
Montijo
2 : 1 Santa Amalia
26 Apr
CD Diocesano
0 : 0 Santa Amalia
12 Apr
Don Benito
1 : 0 Santa Amalia
04 Apr
Jerez CF
2 : 2 Santa Amalia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Don Benito | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 70:22 | 71 |
| 2 | CD Badajoz | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 64:27 | 71 |
| 3 | Moralo | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 54:32 | 62 |
| 4 | CD Azuaga | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 53:31 | 62 |
| 5 | Jaraiz | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 53:33 | 59 |
| 6 | Cabeza del Buey | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 45:29 | 57 |
| 7 | SP Villafranca | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 45:40 | 55 |
| 8 | Villanovense | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 45:36 | 53 |
| 9 | Montijo | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 43:42 | 46 |
| 10 | Jerez CF | 34 | 8 | 17 | 9 | 56:51 | 41 |
| 11 | AD Llerenense | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 35:44 | 41 |
| 12 | Puebla de la Calzada | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:48 | 38 |
| 13 | Santa Amalia | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 30:52 | 34 |
| 14 | Gevora | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 32:53 | 33 |
| 15 | Pueblonuevo | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 29:55 | 33 |
| 16 | CD Diocesano | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 33:63 | 30 |
| 17 | Montehermoso | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 24:66 | 23 |
| 18 | CD Calamonte | 34 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 25:47 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
