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Jerez Industrial vs Marinaleda

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 10 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 10 2010/2011 game between Jerez Industrial and Marinaleda finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marinaleda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Jerez Industrial
30%
Draws
35%
Marinaleda
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Jerez Industrial haven't matched Marinaleda's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 10 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Jerez Industrial Clean Sheet 14%
Marinaleda Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jerez Industrial Marinaleda
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 7 10
Draws 4 11
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 0.73 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 16, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Jerez Industrial vs Marinaleda
0:1
Sep 5, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Marinaleda vs Jerez Industrial
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jerez Industrial 31 / 100
Marinaleda 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jerez Industrial Marinaleda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marinaleda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jerez Industrial scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Marinaleda conceded in 79% of 34 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Jerez Industrial remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jerez Industrial VS Marinaleda
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jerez Industrial

(Home)
19 Aug
Jerez Industrial
0 : 3
Xerez CD
26 Aug
Jerez Industrial
0 : 2
Xerez Deportivo FC
05 Aug
Jerez Industrial
3 : 2
Xerez CD
23 Jul
Jerez Industrial
0 : 1
Xerez CD
15 May
Jerez Industrial
1 : 0
Puerto Real CF
Page 1 of 6

Marinaleda

(Away)
13 May
Marinaleda
1 : 1
Cadiz B
06 May
Conil
1 : 1
Marinaleda
29 Apr
Marinaleda
1 : 1
Sanluqueno
22 Apr
Algeciras
1 : 0
Marinaleda
15 Apr
Marinaleda
3 : 2
Cordoba B
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linense 38 22 10 6 65:32 76
2 CD San Fernando 38 21 9 8 61:33 72
3 Pozoblanco 38 20 11 7 56:33 71
4 Mairena 38 17 12 9 41:29 63
5 Algeciras 38 17 11 10 44:33 62
6 Portuense 38 17 10 11 44:40 61
7 Puerto Real CF 38 14 17 7 42:32 59
8 Sanluqueno 38 14 14 10 47:42 56
9 Sevilla C 38 12 15 11 42:40 51
10 Cordoba B 38 13 10 15 41:38 49
11 UD Los Palacios 38 12 13 13 40:44 49
12 Coria C.F. 38 12 10 16 58:60 46
13 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 38 10 14 14 41:46 44
14 Conil 38 11 10 17 44:47 43
15 Cadiz B 38 12 7 19 52:50 43
16 Marinaleda 38 11 9 18 36:53 42
17 Ayamonte 38 9 15 14 53:62 42
18 Jerez Industrial 38 13 6 19 36:58 42
19 Penarroya Pueblonuevo CF 38 8 10 20 35:60 34
20 Los Barrios 38 3 11 24 22:68 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)