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Jersey Bulls vs Stenhousemuir

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Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Yates M.
37' Event
Yates M.
46' Event
Yates M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2023 game between Jersey Bulls and Stenhousemuir finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stenhousemuir.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%
Jersey Bulls
20%
Draws
69%
Stenhousemuir
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stenhousemuir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Stenhousemuir come out ahead of Jersey Bulls on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Stenhousemuir's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Jersey Bulls Clean Sheet 13%
Stenhousemuir Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jersey Bulls Stenhousemuir
Matches Played 14 30
Wins 4 22
Draws 3 5
Losses 7 3
Goals Scored 1.43 1.57
Goals Conceded 2.29 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2023 Club Friendly
Jersey Bulls vs Stenhousemuir
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jersey Bulls Compare

Top Goalscorer Watson L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Stenhousemuir Compare

Top Goalscorer Yates M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Kirkpatrick J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jersey Bulls 10 / 100
Stenhousemuir 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jersey Bulls Stenhousemuir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stenhousemuir Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Jersey Bulls scored in 57% of their last 14 outings.

Stenhousemuir let in goals in 47% of their last 30 matches.

Jersey Bulls went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jersey Bulls VS Stenhousemuir
0.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jersey Bulls

(Home)
15 Sept
Jersey Bulls
1 : 3
Burgess Hill
05 Sept
Burgess Hill
0 : 0
Jersey Bulls
20 Sept
Harrow Borough
4 : 0
Jersey Bulls
16 Sept
Worthing FC
5 : 0
Jersey Bulls
13 Sept
Jersey Bulls
2 : 2
Worthing FC
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Stenhousemuir

(Away)
25 Sept
Ayr
0 : 1
Stenhousemuir
19 Sept
Stenhousemuir
1 : 0
Arbroath
15 Sept
Stenhousemuir
1 : 0
Partick
11 Sept
Stenhousemuir
0 : 3
Hearts
04 Sept
Livingston
0 : 1
Stenhousemuir
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