Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jerusalem FC vs H. Herzliya

Israel Israel

Liga Alef South 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Yehezkeli S.

AI Match Summary

Jerusalem FC in this Liga Alef South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jerusalem FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Jerusalem FC
30%
Draws
33%
H. Herzliya
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jerusalem FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jerusalem FC lately — more wins on the board than H. Herzliya.
  • Model gives Jerusalem FC a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Alef South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Jerusalem FC here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Jerusalem FC Clean Sheet 20%
H. Herzliya Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jerusalem FC H. Herzliya
Matches Played 21 21
Wins 9 6
Draws 6 6
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.86 1
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.51
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2026 Liga Alef South
H. Herzliya vs Jerusalem FC
1:5
Sep 26, 2025 Liga Alef South
Jerusalem FC vs H. Herzliya
1:0
Mar 12, 2025 Liga Alef South
H. Herzliya vs Jerusalem FC
6:1
Nov 8, 2024 Liga Alef South
Jerusalem FC vs H. Herzliya
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jerusalem FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Yehezkeli S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

H. Herzliya Compare

Avg xG / game 0.46
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jerusalem FC 36 / 100
H. Herzliya 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jerusalem FC H. Herzliya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jerusalem FC found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (21 games).

Games between these two average 4.25 goals.

Recent resilience: Jerusalem FC stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

H. Herzliya's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 21 matches.

Scoring Trends

Jerusalem FC VS H. Herzliya
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.25
38% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jerusalem FC

(Home)
24 Sept
Jerusalem FC
1 : 1
Maccabi Yavne
18 Sept
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
1 : 3
Jerusalem FC
09 Sept
Jerusalem FC
1 : 1
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
04 Sept
Kfar Saba 1928
1 : 2
Jerusalem FC
27 Feb
Jerusalem FC
4 : 1
FC Dimona
Page 1 of 5

H. Herzliya

(Away)
23 Sept
H. Herzliya
1 : 0
Tzeirei Tira
18 Sept
Maccabi Yavne
0 : 0
H. Herzliya
09 Sept
H. Herzliya
3 : 1
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
03 Sept
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
1 : 2
H. Herzliya
27 Feb
Beitar Yavne
1 : 0
H. Herzliya
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kiryat Gat 21 17 4 0 53:18 55
2 Jerusalem FC 22 11 4 7 45:29 37
3 FC Dimona 22 11 4 7 29:30 37
4 Maccabi Yavne 22 10 6 6 42:28 36
5 Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi 22 10 5 7 27:27 35
6 Tzeirei Tira 21 10 3 8 33:24 33
7 Shimshon Tel Aviv 22 8 6 8 28:28 30
8 Beitar Yavne 22 9 3 10 27:34 30
9 Kfar Saba 1928 22 7 8 7 28:31 29
10 Holon Yermiyahu 22 6 6 10 30:33 24
11 Hapoel Marmorek 22 6 6 10 20:34 24
12 Hapoel Azor 21 5 8 8 17:20 23
13 H. Herzliya 22 5 7 10 22:36 22
14 Ramat Hasharon 22 5 5 12 24:43 19
15 Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 21 7 7 7 37:35 16
16 Beitar Nordia Jerusalem 22 3 6 13 28:40 15
Promotion - Leumit League (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)