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Stadium Background

Jesenice vs Bistrica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Kidric R.
42' Event
Kladar S.
56' Event
Korosec A.

AI Match Summary

The 2. SNL game between Jesenice and Bistrica finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bistrica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Jesenice
30%
Draws
61%
Bistrica
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bistrica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Bistrica carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Bistrica a 61% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 2. SNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Bistrica have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Jesenice Clean Sheet 14%
Bistrica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jesenice Bistrica
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.14 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2026 2. SNL
Jesenice vs Bistrica
1:3
Mar 29, 2026 2. SNL
Bistrica vs Jesenice
1:1
Sep 14, 2025 2. SNL
Jesenice vs Bistrica
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jesenice Compare

Top Goalscorer Kladar S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Bistrica Compare

Top Goalscorer Kidric R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Korosec A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jesenice 10 / 100
Bistrica 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jesenice Bistrica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bistrica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bistrica has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Jesenice's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Jesenice has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jesenice VS Bistrica
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jesenice

(Home)
31 Oct
Rudar
2 : 2
Jesenice
28 Oct
Jesenice
1 : 3
Bistrica
16 Oct
Dravinja
2 : 1
Jesenice
10 Oct
Jesenice
2 : 2
NK Brezice
04 Oct
Triglav
4 : 0
Jesenice
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Bistrica

(Away)
28 Oct
Jesenice
1 : 3
Bistrica
23 Oct
Bistrica
4 : 3
Bilje
17 Oct
Bistrica
1 : 0
Primorje
11 Oct
Slovan Ljubljana
1 : 1
Bistrica
04 Oct
Bistrica
3 : 1
Rudar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Triglav 14 10 1 3 31:13 31
2 Tabor Sezana 13 10 1 2 26:10 31
3 Beltinci 13 9 1 3 39:17 28
4 Bistrica 14 7 2 5 19:17 23
5 Ilirija 14 7 1 6 25:17 22
6 Bilje 13 7 0 6 23:27 21
7 Rudar 13 6 1 6 23:20 19
8 Jadran Dekani 14 5 4 5 8:8 19
9 Jesenice 13 5 3 5 22:21 18
10 Slovan Ljubljana 13 5 2 6 14:21 17
11 Primorje 13 4 4 5 13:17 16
12 Dravinja 13 4 2 7 19:26 14
13 Vrhnika 13 4 2 7 12:22 14
14 NK Krka 13 4 1 8 17:22 13
15 Krsko Posavje 13 2 3 8 9:27 9
16 NK Brezice 13 1 4 8 12:27 7
Promotion - Prva liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga (Relegation)