Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jesenice vs Ilirija

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Mavra R.
20' Event
Podlesnik N.
36' Event
Giacchino G.

AI Match Summary

Jesenice in this 2. SNL matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jesenice.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Jesenice
15%
Draws
31%
Ilirija
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jesenice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Jesenice haven't matched Ilirija's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Jesenice's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ilirija have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Jesenice Clean Sheet 16%
Ilirija Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jesenice Ilirija
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 0.97 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 2. SNL
Jesenice vs Ilirija
3:1
Mar 6, 2026 2. SNL
Ilirija vs Jesenice
2:0
Aug 24, 2025 2. SNL
Jesenice vs Ilirija
0:3
May 28, 2016 3. SNL - Centre
Jesenice vs Ilirija
0:3
Nov 14, 2015 3. SNL - Centre
Ilirija vs Jesenice
7:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jesenice Compare

Top Goalscorer Mavra R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Giacchino G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Ilirija Compare

Top Goalscorer Podlesnik N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jesenice 36 / 100
Ilirija 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jesenice Ilirija

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Ilirija let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Jesenice stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Jesenice found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Jesenice VS Ilirija
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jesenice

(Home)
20 Sept
Bilje
0 : 2
Jesenice
12 Sept
Jesenice
3 : 1
Ilirija
05 Sept
NK Krka
2 : 0
Jesenice
29 Aug
Jesenice
3 : 1
Beltinci
21 Aug
Jadran Dekani
0 : 2
Jesenice
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Ilirija

(Away)
19 Sept
Ilirija
2 : 0
Krsko Posavje
12 Sept
Jesenice
3 : 1
Ilirija
04 Sept
Ilirija
0 : 0
Primorje
28 Aug
Slovan Ljubljana
2 : 1
Ilirija
22 Aug
Ilirija
2 : 0
Rudar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tabor Sezana 7 5 1 1 17:6 16
2 Triglav 7 5 0 2 13:4 15
3 Ilirija 7 4 1 2 13:5 13
4 Beltinci 7 4 1 2 16:9 13
5 Jesenice 7 4 1 2 11:8 13
6 Vrhnika 7 4 1 2 10:7 13
7 Rudar 7 4 0 3 15:12 12
8 Bilje 7 4 0 3 14:14 12
9 Bistrica 7 3 1 3 9:12 10
10 Slovan Ljubljana 7 3 1 3 8:14 10
11 Jadran Dekani 7 2 3 2 5:4 9
12 NK Krka 7 2 1 4 8:11 7
13 Primorje 7 2 1 4 8:13 7
14 Krsko Posavje 7 1 2 4 5:14 5
15 Dravinja 7 1 1 5 7:17 4
16 NK Brezice 7 0 1 6 7:16 1
Promotion - Prva liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga (Relegation)