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Jesenice vs Slovan Ljubljana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jesenice host Slovan Ljubljana in the 2. SNL. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Jesenice have averaged 1.14 scored and 1.79 conceded recently, against Slovan Ljubljana's 1.17 scored and 1.83 conceded. Past meetings favor Slovan Ljubljana slightly — 0-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 7, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.81 - 1.13) back Slovan Ljubljana to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Jesenice
30%
Draws
47%
Slovan Ljubljana
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Slovan Ljubljana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Slovan Ljubljana lately — more wins on the board than Jesenice.
  • Model gives Slovan Ljubljana a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Slovan Ljubljana here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Jesenice Clean Sheet 20%
Slovan Ljubljana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jesenice Slovan Ljubljana
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.14 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 2. SNL
Slovan Ljubljana vs Jesenice
1:0
Oct 25, 2025 2. SNL
Jesenice vs Slovan Ljubljana
2:3
Apr 14, 2024 3. SNL - West
Slovan Ljubljana vs Jesenice
2:1
Sep 30, 2023 3. SNL - West
Jesenice vs Slovan Ljubljana
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jesenice 28 / 100
Slovan Ljubljana 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jesenice Slovan Ljubljana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Slovan Ljubljana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Slovan Ljubljana's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Slovan Ljubljana's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Jesenice's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Jesenice VS Slovan Ljubljana
2 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jesenice

(Home)
31 Oct
Rudar
2 : 2
Jesenice
28 Oct
Jesenice
1 : 3
Bistrica
16 Oct
Dravinja
2 : 1
Jesenice
10 Oct
Jesenice
2 : 2
NK Brezice
04 Oct
Triglav
4 : 0
Jesenice
Page 1 of 6

Slovan Ljubljana

(Away)
01 Nov
Slovan Ljubljana
0 : 1
Primorje
27 Oct
Tabor Sezana
2 : 0
Slovan Ljubljana
17 Oct
Rudar
2 : 0
Slovan Ljubljana
11 Oct
Slovan Ljubljana
1 : 1
Bistrica
03 Oct
Dravinja
1 : 4
Slovan Ljubljana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tabor Sezana 13 10 1 2 26:10 31
2 Beltinci 13 9 1 3 39:17 28
3 Triglav 13 9 1 3 27:12 28
4 Bistrica 13 7 2 4 19:16 23
5 Ilirija 13 7 1 5 24:13 22
6 Bilje 13 7 0 6 23:27 21
7 Rudar 13 6 1 6 23:20 19
8 Jesenice 13 5 3 5 22:21 18
9 Slovan Ljubljana 13 5 2 6 14:21 17
10 Jadran Dekani 13 4 4 5 7:8 16
11 Primorje 13 4 4 5 13:17 16
12 Dravinja 13 4 2 7 19:26 14
13 Vrhnika 13 4 2 7 12:22 14
14 NK Krka 13 4 1 8 17:22 13
15 Krsko Posavje 13 2 3 8 9:27 9
16 NK Brezice 13 1 4 8 12:27 7
Promotion - Prva liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga (Relegation)