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Jesenice vs Triglav - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Hodzic N.
73' Event
Lukacevic E.
88' Event
Vinogradac T.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Triglav in this 2. SNL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Triglav.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Jesenice
15%
Draws
45%
Triglav
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Triglav

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Triglav lately — more wins on the board than Jesenice.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Triglav taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Triglav have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Jesenice Clean Sheet 15%
Triglav Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jesenice Triglav
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 19
Draws 5 5
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 1.07 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.79 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 2. SNL
Triglav vs Jesenice
4:0
Apr 30, 2026 2. SNL
Jesenice vs Triglav
0:3
Oct 17, 2025 2. SNL
Triglav vs Jesenice
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jesenice Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Triglav Compare

Top Goalscorer Hodzic N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lukacevic E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jesenice 23 / 100
Triglav 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jesenice Triglav

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Triglav Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.33 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Jesenice remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Jesenice's goal record stands at 54% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Triglav has conceded goals in 43% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jesenice VS Triglav
2 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jesenice

(Home)
04 Oct
Triglav
4 : 0
Jesenice
27 Sept
Jesenice
5 : 0
Vrhnika
20 Sept
Bilje
0 : 2
Jesenice
12 Sept
Jesenice
3 : 1
Ilirija
05 Sept
NK Krka
2 : 0
Jesenice
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Triglav

(Away)
04 Oct
Triglav
4 : 0
Jesenice
26 Sept
Triglav
1 : 1
Primorje
20 Sept
Triglav
3 : 0
Slovan Ljubljana
16 Sept
Triglav
4 : 0
NK Brezice
13 Sept
Rudar
2 : 0
Triglav
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grosuplje 30 23 6 1 70:26 75
2 Nafta 30 23 6 1 65:23 75
3 Triglav 30 20 4 6 72:28 64
4 Beltinci 30 18 6 6 55:25 60
5 Tabor Sezana 30 15 5 10 37:33 50
6 Bistrica 30 13 6 11 50:36 45
7 Dravinja 30 10 7 13 32:44 37
8 Rudar 30 9 10 11 46:39 37
9 Bilje 30 9 7 14 27:47 34
10 Jadran Dekani 30 8 9 13 40:46 33
11 Slovan Ljubljana 30 9 5 16 32:52 32
12 NK Krka 30 6 11 13 32:51 29
13 Ilirija 30 6 9 15 38:52 27
14 Krsko Posavje 30 7 5 18 24:62 26
15 ND Gorica 30 4 10 16 31:45 22
16 Jesenice 30 4 6 20 26:68 18
Promotion - Prva liga (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)