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Stadium Background

Jesenice vs Vrhnika - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Mavra R.
67' Event
Giacchino G.
76' Event
Giacchino G.

AI Match Summary

Jesenice in this 2. SNL matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jesenice.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Jesenice
20%
Draws
38%
Vrhnika
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jesenice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Vrhnika have won more games recently than Jesenice.
  • Win probability leans Jesenice's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 2. SNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Jesenice Clean Sheet 20%
Vrhnika Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jesenice Vrhnika
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 18
Draws 5 4
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.07 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 2. SNL
Jesenice vs Vrhnika
5:0
Mar 15, 2025 3. SNL - West
Jesenice vs Vrhnika
3:2
Aug 31, 2024 3. SNL - West
Vrhnika vs Jesenice
1:0
Mar 30, 2024 3. SNL - West
Jesenice vs Vrhnika
2:1
Sep 16, 2023 3. SNL - West
Vrhnika vs Jesenice
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jesenice Compare

Top Goalscorer Giacchino G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mavra R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Vrhnika Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jesenice 85 / 100
Vrhnika 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jesenice Vrhnika

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jesenice Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Jesenice went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Jesenice found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (28 games).

Vrhnika's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Jesenice VS Vrhnika
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jesenice

(Home)
04 Oct
Triglav
4 : 0
Jesenice
27 Sept
Jesenice
5 : 0
Vrhnika
20 Sept
Bilje
0 : 2
Jesenice
12 Sept
Jesenice
3 : 1
Ilirija
05 Sept
NK Krka
2 : 0
Jesenice
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Vrhnika

(Away)
03 Oct
Vrhnika
0 : 0
Krsko Posavje
27 Sept
Jesenice
5 : 0
Vrhnika
19 Sept
Vrhnika
2 : 1
Primorje
12 Sept
Slovan Ljubljana
0 : 0
Vrhnika
04 Sept
Vrhnika
4 : 2
Rudar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tabor Sezana 10 8 1 1 21:7 25
2 Triglav 9 6 1 2 18:5 19
3 Beltinci 9 6 1 2 23:11 19
4 Jesenice 9 5 1 3 16:12 16
5 Slovan Ljubljana 9 5 1 3 13:15 16
6 Rudar 10 5 0 5 19:17 15
7 Bilje 9 5 0 4 17:17 15
8 Vrhnika 9 4 2 3 10:12 14
9 Ilirija 9 4 1 4 15:10 13
10 Bistrica 9 4 1 4 12:14 13
11 Jadran Dekani 9 3 3 3 6:6 12
12 Primorje 9 2 3 4 10:15 9
13 Krsko Posavje 9 2 3 4 8:15 9
14 NK Krka 9 2 1 6 9:16 7
15 Dravinja 9 1 1 7 9:24 4
16 NK Brezice 9 0 2 7 8:18 2
Promotion - Prva liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga (Relegation)